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Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction 9-29-24 Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) vs. Indianapolis Colts (1-2)
September 29, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indianapolis Colts +2; Over/Under: +44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Indianapolis Colts meet in week 4 NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts prediction.

Pittsburgh Steelers Recap

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this one looking to build on their 3-0 start to the year after taking out the Chargers last time out by a final score of 20-10. After this game, the Steelers will head back home to do battle with the Dallas Cowboys.

Steelers Keep Rolling Defensively

Justin Fields has thrown for 518 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 73.3% passing while Najee Harris has rushed for 209 yards. George Pickens leads the Steelers in receiving with 13 grabs for 171 yards while Calvin Austin III has 108 receiving yards with a touchdown. Pat Freiermuth also has 12 grabs this season. On defense, DeShon Elliott has a team-high 18 total tackles while Minkah Fitzpatrick has 16 total tackles including 12 solo tackles. T.J. Watt has a team-high 3 sacks and Nick Herbig has a pair of sacks. As a team, Pittsburgh’s defense has combined for 9 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

  • The Steelers have won 15 of their last 16 Sunday games against the Colts.
  • The Colts have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Colts’ last six Week 4 games.
  • The Colts have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win.

Indianapolis Colts Recap

The Indianapolis Colts come into this one at 1-2 on the year after picking up their first win of the season after ending up with a 21-16 win over the Chicago Bears last time out. After this game, the Colts will head to Jacksonville for a division matchup against the Jaguars.

Colts Trying To Find Consistent Offense

Anthony Richardson has thrown for 583 yards, 3 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 49.3% passing while also rushing for 117 yards and a TD. Jonathan Taylor has a team-high 261 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Alec Pierce leads the Colts’ receiving group with 225 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while Michael Pittman Jr. has a team-high 11 receptions. On defense, Nick Cross has a team-high 39 total tackles including 24 solo tackles while Jaylon Jones has a pair of interceptions. As a team, the Colts’ defense has put up 8 sacks and a pair of interceptions so far this season.

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

  • The Steelers have lost three of their last four Week 4 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Steelers’ last two Week 4 games.
  • The Colts have covered the spread in four of their last five September games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Week 4 games.

Steelers vs. Colts Prediction

I’m on the Steelers here. I know the Colts found a way to get it done last week and have a lot of upside with a young team, but here’s the thing. Richardson just hasn’t been consistent enough in the passing game to trust here, and the Steelers, despite what little expectations people had of them coming into the season, have been strong defensively and haven’t slowed down in that regard. I just don’t trust the Colts to handle this Steeler defense, even at home, and I think the Steelers get it done on the road here. Give me Pittsburgh.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Pittsburgh -2

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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