USF Bulls (2-2) vs. Tulane Green Wave (2-2)
September 28, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tulane Green Wave -5 / USF Bulls +5; Over/Under: +64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Tulane vs South Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 28th at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week five matchup.
Tulane Green Wave Betting Preview
The Tulane Green Wave are 2-2 this year after they defeated Louisiana by a score of 41-33 last week. Tulane led 17-13 at halftime and never trailed in the second half in the win. The Green Wave were out gained by a total of 413-355, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 9-14 on third down in the game. Darian Mensah threw for 83 yards and one touchdown, while Makhi Hughes rushed for 166 yards and one score.
Tulane defeated SELA by a score of 52-0 in their first game, but they lost two decently close games against Kansas State and Oklahoma prior to the Louisiana win. The Tulane offense has scored 37.8 points per game with 207.3 passing yards and 192 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 37.8 points against per game this season. The Green Wave have gone 50% on third down and 3-5 on fourth down so far this season. Darian Mensah has completed 60% of his passes for 796 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Makhi Hughes has rushed for 424 yards and three scores.
South Florida Bulls Betting Preview
The South Florida Bulls are 2-2 this season after they lost to Miami by a score of 50-15 in their last game. South Florida led 15-14 in the second quarter, but they allowed the last 36 points in the game for the loss. The Bulls were out gained by a total of 592-365, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 7-17 on third down in the game. Byrum Brown threw for 254 yards, while Sean Atkins caught 11 passes for 125 yards in the game.
South Florida also lost to Alabama by a score of 42-16 in week two, but they do have wins over Bethune-Cookman and Southern Miss. The USF offense has scored 32 points per game with 192.8 passing yards and 217 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 29.8 points against per game this season. The Bulls have gone 38.5% on third down and 4-8 on fourth down through four games. Byrum Brown has completed 57.9% of his passes for 702 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 281 yards and two scores this year.
Why South Florida will cover
- South Florida has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Florida has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Tulane has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Tulane’s last seven games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of South Florida’s last seven road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tulane ranks 14th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (10.5).
- Tulane ranks T24th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (18.8).
- South Florida ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.3).
- South Florida ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (2.5).
Tulane vs South Florida Prediction
Tulane comes into this matchup after a nice bounce back win over a solid Louisiana team on the road, and they will look to start conference play strong here. Both of these teams scheduled some difficult non-conference games, but Tulane definitely looked better against Oklahoma and Kansas State than USF did against Miami and Alabama. I like both offenses in this game and we should see plenty of points. This matchup could easily come down to the last possession, so I will take the points with South Florida.
