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Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 10-5-24 MLB Picks

Detroit Tigers (88-76) vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)
October 5, 2024 1:08 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -140 / Detroit Tigers +120; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Tyler Holton for the start and is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1 strikeout this postseason. The Cleveland Guardians will trot out Tanner Bibee for the start and Bibee was 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA and 187 strikeouts this season. Bibee suffered losses to the Dodgers and Rays but then secured a win against the Reds in his latest start.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into the ALDS after sweeping the Houston Astros in their AL Wild Card series with a 5-2 win in game two. The win marked Detroit’s first appearance in the ALDS since 2013. The winner of this series will meet the Royals or the Yankees in the ALCS.

Tigers Trying To Keep Good Vibes Rolling

Riley Greene has 134 hits including 24 home runs and 74 RBIs along with 27 doubles, 6 triples, a .262 batting average, and a .348 OBP in addition to a team-high 156 strikeouts this season. Matt Vierling also has 133 hits as well as 5 triples and 28 doubles with 16 home runs and 57 RBIs while Wenceel Perez has 6 triples and 9 stolen bases. Colt Keith also has 13 home runs and 61 RBIs as well this year while Zach McKinstry has 16 stolen bases.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won each of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine-day games against the Tigers following a loss.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into the playoffs as the winners of the AL Central for the second time in three seasons after finishing the regular season with a mark of 92-69. The appearance marks the second ALDS appearance in three years for Cleveland.

Guardians Consistent All Season At The Plate

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 173 hits as well as 39 home runs and 118 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 31 home runs and 108 RBIs along with 27 doubles of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 39 doubles while Andres Gimenez has 63 RBIs with 30 stolen bases. The aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 41 stolen bases on the year. Steven Kwan is also hitting .292 with 140 hits and 16 doubles this season.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won each of their last five-day games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have lost five of their last six-day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven-day games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five playoff games after not playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m looking at the Tigers here. I get why the Guardians are favored at home, as this Guardians team has been rock solid all year long. However, the Tigers have been the hottest team over the last month and a half while making this run and the underdogs have been money so far in the postseason. I have to wonder if there would be some rust for Cleveland in this one and the Tigers could take advantage. Give me the Tigers.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Detroit +120

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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