NY Mets (96-78) vs. LA Dodgers (104-68)
October 20, 2024 8:08 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -140 / NY Mets +120; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Mets and LA Dodgers meet Sunday in MLB game 6 of the NLCS at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Pick.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets need a win to force a game 7 on Monday. The Mets look to win back to back games for the first time in this series. The Mets are 4-3 on the road in these playoffs. The New York Mets have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The New York Mets have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Mark Vientos leads the New York Mets with 17 hits and 12 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Starling Marte have combined for 26 hits and 17 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers will advance to their first World Series since 2020 with a victory. The Dodgers have lost back to back games once since September 15. The Dodgers are 3-2 at home in these playoffs. The LA Dodgers have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The LA Dodgers have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Tommy Edman leads the LA Dodgers with 13 hits and 8 RBI, while Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 22 hits and 20 RBI.
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup
Sean Manaea gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 12-6 with a 3.47 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season. Manaea is 2-3 with a 6.57 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his postseason career. Manaea is 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.
The LA Dodgers didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published. However, Dave Roberts did announce that the Dodgers would be going with a bullpen game.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites following a loss.
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The road team has covered the run line in 12 of the last 15 games between the Mets and Dodgers.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of his last four playoff appearances against NL East opponents at Dodger Stadium.
- Mookie Betts has recorded a Double in three of the Dodgers’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Teoscar Hernandez has scored at least one run in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine home games against NL East opponents.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four home appearances against the Mets.
- Enrique Hernandez has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Mets.
- Miguel Rojas has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (54) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in four of the Mets’ last five road games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in 20 of his last 21 road appearances.
- J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in three of his four previous road appearances against the Dodgers after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 road appearances.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his four previous road appearances against the Dodgers after not playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).
- The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (586).
LA Dodgers vs NY Mets Prediction
It’s hard to get a proper feel for this series because every game has been a blowout and there’s been no rhythm. Based on how things have gone, you’d back the pattern and predict a Dodgers win of 11-3. However, I’m not a fan of bullpen games, as it’s a lot of arms to get you to the finish line, and it just takes one guy to be off to screw things up. Manaea has been sharp as of late, allowing 11 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 17 innings while striking out 17. I trust the Mets pitching situation more, so I’ll take a shot with the plus money.
