Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Player Prop Picks 11-10-24 Picks

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Player Prop Picks 11-10-24

Kansas City enters the game undefeated, bolstered by a solid performance from Patrick Mahomes, who threw for 291 yards and three touchdowns in their recent overtime win against Tampa Bay. Their offense will rely heavily on Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, who has been instrumental in the Chiefs’ offensive success. The Chiefs are also strong on the ground, with running back Kareem Hunt contributing significantly.

For the Broncos, rookie quarterback Bo Nix has shown promise, setting a new rookie passing record, but his inexperience has led to costly turnovers. Denver’s defense has been inconsistent, especially in high-stakes situations. The Broncos will need to protect the football and capitalize on any red-zone opportunities to stay competitive.

Bo Nix Over 203.5 Pass Yards -110

Bo Nix has had a decent season for a rookie as the starting quarterback for the Denver Broncos. Through 9 games, he has completed 184 of 294 pass attempts (62.6% completion rate), throwing for 1,753 yards, with 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. His average yards per game stands at 194.8, and his passer rating is 79.6 Nix has demonstrated a consistent ability to move the ball through the air, though he has faced challenges with turnovers, particularly with interceptions. His most impressive performance came in a win against the Carolina Panthers, where he threw for 284 yards and 3 touchdowns​. 

Given that Nix has shown the ability to put together solid performances, and considering the Chiefs’ relatively high-scoring games this season, it’s likely that Denver will need to rely on his arm to keep pace. This matchup could see him surpass 200 passing yards if the game remains competitive and he is tasked with leading Denver’s offense through the air.

Kareem Hunt Under 71.5 Rush Yards -110

Kareem Hunt has played 5 games for the Chiefs this season, rushing 111 times for 414 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry. His longest run has been 27 yards, and he has scored 5 rushing touchdowns so far. Although he’s been the Chiefs’ leading back since taking over after Isiah Pacheco’s injury, Hunt’s rushing efficiency has been lower than anticipated. He’s averaging only 3.7 yards per carry this season, which is below his career average, despite receiving a large workload (at least 16 touches per game)

This Chiefs team implements Steele and Perine into this run game as well which will take carries away from Hunt. The Bronco’s defense has also been notably strong against the run, which could further limit Hunt’s opportunities to break out for significant yardage. Despite the high volume of touches, I don’t think Hunt Surpassed 70 rush yards.

Deandrea Hopkins Over 49.5 Rec Yards -113

DeAndre Hopkins has been performing well for the Kansas City Chiefs, and he’s expected to be a key player in their game against the Denver Broncos on November 10. After being traded from the Titans, Hopkins had a strong debut with Kansas City, including an 86-yard, 2-touchdown performance against the Buccaneers on November 4th. With Rashee Rice out for the season, Patrick Mahomes needed another weapon and it looks like Hopkins will be that guy. After watching him last week I’ll be targeting his over-receiving yards all season long. 

His consistency and reliability are key factors in why he’s likely to surpass 50 receiving yards in this upcoming game. Hopkins has a history of making plays when it counts, and he has one of the best catch rates in the NFL​. Additionally, he’s been developing a strong rapport with Patrick Mahomes, which further supports his potential for a productive outing against the Broncos.