San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Player Prop Picks 11-11-24 Picks

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Player Prop Picks 11-11-24

This matchup between the Sacramento Kings and the San Antonio Spurs brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. The Kings have emerged as a playoff-contending team, bolstered by De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis, and recent additions like DeMar DeRozan add even more depth. With strong offensive capabilities and a history of competing well in their division, Sacramento aims to make a deep postseason run after coming close in recent years. Their fast-paced offense and playmakers make them a tough opponent for rebuilding teams like the Spurs.

The Spurs, meanwhile, are focused on developing their young talent. Led by Victor Wembanyama, the Spurs have a promising core that includes players like Chris Paul and Harrison Barnes. Wembanyama brings a strong defensive presence and scoring ability, but the team is still working on cohesion and consistency. While they struggle to compete with more established teams, the Spurs’ focus remains on growth and improvement throughout the season as they build around their young roster.

The Kings’ experience and firepower make them the favorite in this matchup, though the Spurs’ potential to improve could lead to competitive performances as their roster develops. Sacramento’s aim is to solidify its playoff positioning, while San Antonio continues its rebuilding journey and looks for breakthroughs with its younger talent. This is a fun matchup and there’s a lot of opportunity to cash in on the player prop market.

Domantas Sabonis Under 17.5 PTS

Domantas Sabonis is having a productive scoring season for the Sacramento Kings so far this season. Through the first nine games, he’s averaging 20.6 points per game on efficient shooting, hitting 64.4% from the field. His scoring contributions have been consistent, including notable games like his 29-point performance against the Lakers, where he shot 71.4% from the field, and a 28-point game against the Jazz with 72.2% accuracy. Sabonis has also shown range, making about 44.4% of his three-point attempts, though he takes relatively few per game. His free-throw shooting has been solid as well, at 84.3% this season. These stats reflect Sabonis’s strong offensive impact, complementing his overall game includes significant rebounding and playmaking efforts​.

With that being said I think this is a tough matchup for Sabonis. He’ll have his hands full all game on the defensive end attempting to contain Wemby and he’ll have to deal with that same problem on offense as well. After a strong start to the season when it comes to a scoring perspective we’ve seen Sabonis go through a four-game stretch where he failed to score over 17 points. Sabonis is a guy that does it all but I just don’t see him having a big scoring game in this matchup.

Chris Paul Over 1.5 3PT

Chris Paul is averaging 2.2 three-pointers made per game on 5.3 attempts, giving him a three-point shooting percentage of 41.7%. His efficiency from beyond the arc has been a reliable asset for the San Antonio Spurs, as he remains one of the team’s key perimeter threats and playmakers. This three-point shooting percentage is in line with Paul’s role as an experienced shooter and facilitator, helping stretch the floor and providing scoring support.

I’ve been surprised by the support Chris Paul has given this Spurs team from beyond the arc. He’s gotten over this line in six games this season and has four games where he’s hit three 3PTs. This King’s defense has been susceptible to the deep ball giving up 14.1 three-pointers per game to opposing teams which is the 7th most in the whole league. In a game that should be competitive, I expect we see at least two threes from Chris Paul.

Demar DeRozan Over 23.5 PTS

DeMar DeRozan is putting up solid scoring numbers for the Sacramento Kings. He is averaging 24.2 points per game over his first nine games, hitting 52% of his field goals and 87% from the free-throw line. His shot selection includes some three-point attempts, making about 34.8% of these at a rate of nearly one three-pointer per game. DeRozan has also showcased his ability to get to the line, averaging about 6.7 free throws per game, which bolsters his scoring output efficiently.

DeRozan has been able to hit this number with no issues so far this season putting up 23+ points in seven games this season. With Sabonis having to deal with Wemby I expect DeRozan to have to do the heavy lifting on offense. In my opinion, Vegas should start setting DeRozan’s point line a couple points higher so I’m going to take advantage of getting it at this 23.5 line.