Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 11-16-24 NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 16th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 10-6-2 this season after they defeated Washington in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Toronto trailed 3-1 in the third period, but they got two late goals to force overtime, before picking up the win with under a minute left in OT. The Maple Leafs out shot Washington by a total of 34-27, won 46.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Marner, McMann, Nylander, and Tavares, while Woll stopped 24 out of 27 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Maple Leafs lost to Ottawa by a score of 3-0, but did beat Montreal, Detroit, and Boston before that. Toronto has scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 2.61 goals against per game, while also going 20.3% on the power play and 84.8% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with five goals, 17 assists, and 47 shots on goal, while Anthony Stolarz is 6-3-2 with a 2.11 goals against average and a .930 save percentage this year. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 9-7-1 this year after they defeated Nashville in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Edmonton blew a late 2-1 lead in the third, but they won in overtime on a goal by Nurse. The Oilers out shot Nashville by a total of 35-23, won 47.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from McDavid and Nurse (2), while Pickard stopped 21 out of 23 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Oilers defeated the Islanders by a score of 4-3 and the Canucks by a score of 7-3. Edmonton has scored 2.76 goals per game and they have allowed 3.12 goals against per game, while also going 15.9% on the power play and 62.8% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl has led Edmonton with 12 goals, 10 assists, and 44 shots on goal, while Stuart Skinner is 5-5-1 with a 3.22 goals against average and an .881 save percentage. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Oilers

• The Oilers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Oilers.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a road win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Oilers’ last six games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six Saturday games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in 11 of his last 12 appearances against the Oilers after playing less than 20 minutes in the Maple Leafs’ last game.
• John Tavares has scored the last goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 home games against Pacific Division opponents.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
• Leon Draisaitl has scored a goal in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
• Connor McDavid has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Maple Leafs after playing less than 20 minutes in the Oilers’ last game.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 14 goals in those three wins. Toronto has won four of their last five games and they have played great defense, only allowing a total of eight goals in their last five games. The Maple Leafs are 7-3-0 at home, while the Oilers are 5-2-0 on the road. This is going to be a great game between two very good teams, but the Edmonton goalie situation still scares me. Take Toronto to get the win.