TCU Horned Frogs (7-4) vs. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-6)
November 30, 2024 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats +3.5 / TCU Horned Frogs -3.5; Over/Under: +58.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The TCU Horned Frogs and the Cincinnati Bearcats meet in week 14 college football action from Nippert Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction.
TCU Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs will be out to add to their 49-28 win over Arizona to improve to 7-4 on the year.
Horned Frogs Trying To Keep Cincinnati Out Of Bowl Season
Entering the TCU game, Josh Hoover has thrown for 3,233 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions on 67.7% passing while Cam Cook has rushed for 414 yards and 8 touchdowns. Jack Bech has a team-high 56 receptions for 982 receiving yards along with 9 touchdowns while Eric McAlister and Savion Williams each have 500+ receiving yards on the year with McAlister logging 552 yards and 4 touchdowns while Williams has 54 receptions, 580 yards, and 6 TDs. JP Richardson also has 523 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Johnny Hodges has a team-high 71 total tackles while Devean Deal has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Zachary Chapman has 3 sacks. As a unit, TCU has combined for 20 sacks and 6 interceptions as well on the year.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won each of its last nine November games as a favorite.
- Cincinnati has lost seven of its last eight games in November.
- Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has covered the spread in each of its last four November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Cincinnati Recap
The Cincinnati Bearcats will be out to clinch a bowl game after falling to 5-6 with a 41-15 loss to Kansas State last time out.
Bearcats Drop 4th Straight
Going into the Kansas State matchup, Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 2,453 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Corey Kiner has rushed for a team-high 903 yards with 3 TDs and Evan Pryor has 381 rushing yards and 6 TDs. Xzavier Henderson leads the Bearcats in receiving with 52 grabs for 632 yards and 4 touchdowns while Joe Royer has 477 receiving yards with 3 TDs. Tony Johnson has 35 grabs for 376 yards and 4 TDs and Jamoi Mayes has 267 receiving yards while three more Bearcats have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jared Bartlett has a team-high 55 total tackles with a team-high 7.5 sacks while Eric Phillips has 4 sacks and Josh Minkins has a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Cincinnati’s defense has combined for 21 sacks and 4 interceptions.
Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win
- The home team has won each of TCU’s last four games.
- TCU has lost each of its last three road games in November.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of Cincinnati’s last five games.
Cincinnati vs TCU Prediction
I’m on TCU here. I know TCU has nothing at stake with bowl eligibility in the bag while Cincinnati needs a win for bowl eligibility. However, the Bearcats have been at 5 wins for over a month and have fallen apart in a massive way, and a lot of it has to do with a defense that’s allowing 35 PPG so far during this four-game losing streak. A lack of motivation didn’t stop TCU from cranking out 49 points last week and scoring 34+ in each of the last four games. Give me TCU as I think they’re favored on the road in a must-win spot for Cincinnati for good reason.
