NHL Picks

Senators vs Red Wings Prediction 3/10/25 NHL Picks Today

Detroit Red Wings (30-27-6) vs. Ottawa Senators (32-25-5)
March 10, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators -162 / Detroit Red Wings 136; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Red Wings prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 10th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 32-25-5 this year after they defeated the Rangers in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Ottawa trailed 3-1 in the third period, but they were able to tie the game late in regulation and get the win in overtime. The Senators out shot New York by a total of 37-23, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Amadio, Greig, and Tkachuk (2), while Ullmark stopped 20 out of 23 shots in the game. 


Prior to that win, the Senators defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 4-3, but did lose to the Capitals by a score of 5-4 before that. Ottawa has won three of their last four games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 69 points. Ottawa has scored 2.85 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 22.7% on the power play and 76.9% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 20 goals, 45 assists, and 129 shots on goal, while Brady Tkachuk has added 26 goals, 23 assists, and 253 shots on goal. Linus Ullmark is 15-11-3 with a 2.73 goals against average and a .909 save percentage this season. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 30-27-6 this season after they lost to Washington by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Detroit led 2-1 after two periods, but they allowed four straight goals (two shorthanded) for the loss. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 28-19, won 47.3% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Larkin and Seider, while Talbot stopped 23 out of 28 shots in the loss. 

Prior to that third period collapse, the Red Wings lost to the Hockey Club by a score of 4-2 and the Hurricanes by a score of 2-1. Detroit has lost five games in a row and they are currently fifth in the Atlantic standings with 66 points. Detroit has scored 2.83 goals per game and they have allowed 3.21 goals against per game, while also going 28.6% on the power play and 70.1% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 22 goals, 43 assists, and 149 shots on goal, while Dylan Larkin has added 26 goals, 29 assists, and 201 shots on goal. Cam Talbot is 17-14-3 with a 2.99 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this season. 

Why the Senators will beat the Red Wings

  • The Red Wings have lost seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • The Senators have won each of their last five games after coming off overtime.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Senators have won the third period in eight of their last nine games following a home win.

Why the Red Wings will beat the Senators

  • The Red Wings have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Senators have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Red Wings and Senators.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Senators’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Nine of the Red Wings’ last 10 games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Ten of the last 12 games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last six games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games following a win.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven home games.
  • Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last five appearances.
  • Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last 14 games.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Alex DeBrincat has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances against former teams.
  • Alex DeBrincat has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against former teams.
  • Moritz Seider has recorded an assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Senators vs Red Wings Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup after picking up two straight overtime wins and they will be on home ice for this game. The Senators are 18-9-2 at home this year, while the Red Wings are 14-12-3 on the road. Detroit has lost five games in a row and they have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five. The Red Wings are currently not in a playoff spot, but they are chasing Ottawa, so this is a huge game for both teams. I have not been impressed with either defense and I think we are going to see some goals, so I like the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 5.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button