Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction 3/12/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, March 12th, at Bridgestone Arena.  Let’s take a look at a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers pick. 

LSU is Ice Cold

LSU is ice-cold heading into this game, and they have lost five games in a row. In the last game gainst Texas A&M, LSU scored 52 points while the defense gave up 66 points. At halftime, they were actually up 32-30, but in the second half, the offense scored only 20 points, and that led to the defeat. LSU shot only 30 percent from the field and 26.9 percent from behind the three-point line. Guard Jordan Sears was the only bright offensive player, putting up 21 points, three rebounds, and two assists. 

LSU sits with a 14-17 record overall, and at this point, they are trying to play spoiler unless they can keep winning all the way to the SEC Championship because that’s the only way they are getting in. LSU wants to keep the pace up, but the defense has not made many stops. The Tigers are averaging 74.2 points, while their defense is giving up 73 points per game. Guard Cam Carter is having a strong season, averaging 16.5 points while shooting 42.8 percent from the field and 39.6 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Mississippi State is Suddenly Struggling

Mississippi State is suddenly struggling and they have lost two straight games. Two games ago against Texas, they lost 87-72, and in the last game against Arkansas, they lost 93-82. At halftime, they were down by a point, and even though they scored 48 points in the second half, it still wasn’t enough.  Mississippi State shot 43.8 percent from the field but only 37.5 percent from deep, which was the difference in the victory. Claudell Harris Jr was the top player for Mississippi State, and he scored 18 points and two rebounds. 

Mississippi State comes into this game with a 20-11 record overall. This feels like a team that can run up the score against anyone and make a run in the NCAA Tournament. It could also be bounced in the first round, and neither would be all that shocking. Mississippi State is averaging 79.6 points while its defense is giving up 74.2 points per game. Josh Hubbard has been the top player, averaging 18.3 points. 

Why Mississippi State Will Beat LSU

• LSU has lost eight of its last nine night games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Mississippi State has won each of its last four games at Bridgestone Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State’s last nine games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
• Each of LSU’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction

Mississippi State has been a hard team to figure out, especially as of late, but one team that hasn’t been hard to figure out is LSU; they are just flat-out awful. LSU’s defense is giving up 73 points per game, and they will struggle to defend again here. Josh Hubbard and company are a balanced offensive team, and they will have no issue running up the score. Mississippi State will go over their season average, and LSU won’t have the offense to keep this game close. This is a game they can win by 20 points. Back Mississippi State against the spread. This is one of my favorite plays on the board.