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Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Kentucky (21-10) vs. Alabama (24-7)
March 14, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Alabama -5.5; Over/Under: 179.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction for this college basketball game on Friday, March 14th, at Bridgestone Arena. . Let’s take a look at an Alabama Crimson Tide vs Ketucky Wildcats pick. 

Is Alabama for Real?

Alabama looks like one of the best teams in the country, but the last thing they want is negative momentum heading into the tournament. Two games ago, against Florida, the defense gave up 99 points, and they lost by five points. In the last game against Auburn, though the defense was still a problem, they ended up winning 93–91. It took overtime, but they scored 14 points and came out ahead. Grant Nelson had a huge game, putting up 23 points and eight rebounds. Three different players put up at least 15 points. Auburn shot 47.9 percent from the field and 38.5 percent from behind the three-point line. 


Alabama has a 24-7 overall record and has relied on its offense all season. It is averaging 91.2 points, while its defense is giving up 81.1 points per game. Five different players are averaging at least 10 points. Mark Sears has been the top player, averaging 19.2 points per game. In this game, they are going to need that balanced attack to run up the score again. 

Why Alabama Will Beat Kentucky

  • Alabama has won each of its last four games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Kentucky has lost four of its last five games at Bridgestone Arena.
  • Kentucky has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Southeastern Conference at Bridgestone Arena.

What Does Kentucky Have Left?

Kentucky went through a range of emotions on Thursday against Oklahoma. It looked like they were going to cruise most of the second half, and then they blew it in the last couple of minutes until a late buck with less than a second left secured the win. The offense scored 85 points, which was impressive, but the defense left a lot to be desired, and I can’t imagine it will get any easier in this game. Otega Oweh was the top player  putting up 27 points, five rebounds,  and four assists. 

Kentucky has a 22-10 overall record, and it’s going to need to play a complete game here. The Wildcats are averaging 85.8 points, while their defense is giving up 77.8 points per game. This team has a ton of scorers, and most nights, you have no idea who is going to step up. Oweh is averaging 16.2 points per game. 

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.4).
  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).
  • Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (123.8).
  • Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (111.1).

Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction

There was so much emotion from Kentucky on Thursday; this is quite the letdown spot for them here. Kentucky’s defense is giving up 77.8 points per game, and they will have some major issues here. Alabama is averaging 91.2 points per game, with so many scorers are on this team. Kentucky will stick around for a half, but in the second half the tired legs will really hurt them, and Alabama will end up cruising here. Back Alabama to win this game and cover the spread.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Alabama -5.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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