Detroit Pistons (38-31) vs. Miami Heat (29-39)
March 19, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat +5.5; Over/Under: 217.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Pistons and Miami Heat meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Heat vs Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Heat vs Pistons Pick.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons lost to the Thunder, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Mavs, Spurs, and Cavs next. The Pistons have split their last 10 games, but have a chance to snag a top-four seed in the East.
The Detroit Pistons are averaging 115 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 25.6 points and 6 rebounds, while Malik Beasley is averaging 16.2 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Duren is grabbing 10.3 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat lost to the Grizzlies and Knicks, and they play the Rockets, Hornets, and Warriors next. The Heat have lost eight straight games and have dropped to the 10th seed in the East.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.1 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.5 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won seven of their last eight games against the Pistons following a loss.
- The Pistons have lost six of their last 10 games as road favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Pistons’ last six games at Kaseya Center.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games at Kaseya Center following a win.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pistons have won each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last eight games.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.8).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.1).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (42.0).
- The Pistons have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons – the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA
Heat vs Pistons Injury Report
The Miami Heat will be without Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, and Dru Smith. Andrew Wiggins is questionable with a leg injury.
The Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey.
Heat vs Pistons Prediction
I’ve been saying for a while that the Heat look like a team that’s given up on the season, and here they are with eight straight losses. The Heat blow a double-digit lead nearly every night, and there are just no answers at either end of the floor. The lack of sustaining four quarters is so bad that it feels like the Heat are throwing these games purposely. There’s no way a team is actually trying to win but blows big leads like clockwork.
Meanwhile, the Pistons have a chance to sneak into the fifth or fourth seed in the East if they can get back to their winning ways. The Pistons have 20 road wins, so Kaseya Center isn’t going to bother them. I want nothing to do with the Heat. Give me the Pistons and the chalk.
