Houston vs Florida Prediction 4/7/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Houston vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, April 7th at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the National Championship game. 

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 35-4 (19-1) this season after they defeated Duke by a score of 70-67 in their last game. Houston trailed 34-28 at halftime and they were down by double digits with about eight minutes left, but they rallied for the huge comeback win. The Cougars shot 37.7% from the field, 45.5% on three pointers, and 77.8% on free throws in the game. LJ Cryer led Houston with 26 points and five rebounds, while Emanuel Sharp added 16 points and three rebounds in the game. Houston did not shoot the ball very well, but they had 11 more rebounds in the game and gave Duke a ton of trouble with their full court pressure late in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Cougars defeated Tennessee by a score of 69-50 and Purdue by a score of 62-60. Houston has won 18 games in a row and they finished first in the Big 12 standings with a 19-1 record. Houston has scored 73.9 points per game and they have allowed 58.5 points against per game, while also averaging 36.8 rebounds and 12.3 assists per game this season. LJ Cryer is averaging 15.6 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game, while Emanuel Sharp is averaging 12.8 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 1.4 steals per game this year. Houston is shooting 45.8% from the field, 74.1% on free throws, and 39.8% on three pointers this season. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 35-4 (14-4) this year after they defeated Auburn by a score of 79-73 in their last game. Florida trailed 46-38 at halftime, but they held Auburn to just 27 points in the second half for the win. The Gators shot 47.2% from the field, 38.1% on three pointers, and 70% on free throws in the game. Walter Clayton Jr. led Florida with 34 points and four rebounds, while Alijah Martin added 17 points and three rebounds in the game. Florida struggled to get stops in the first half, but they allowed just 12 points in the first 12 minutes of the second half to take control of the game. 

Prior to that win, the Gators defeated Texas Tech by a score of 84-79 and Maryland by a score of 87-71. Florida has won 11 games in a row and they finished second in the SEC standings with a 14-4 record. Florida has scored 85.3 points per game and they have allowed 69.8 points against per game, while also averaging 41.9 rebounds and 15.5 assists per game this season. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 18.5 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game, while Alijah Martin is averaging 14.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game this year. Florida is shooting 47.3% from the field, 71.8% on free throws, and 35.5% on three pointers this season. 

Why Florida will beat Houston

• Florida has won each of its last 17 games against non-Conference opponents.
• Florida has won the first half in each of its last eight night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Florida’s last 18 games have produced a total of 144+ points.
• Each of Houston’s last 10 Monday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Houston ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (58.1).
• Houston ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (19.4).
• Florida ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.4).
• Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.3).

Houston vs Florida Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 35-4 record on the season and both had to make second half comebacks in the Final Four, so this should be a great game to watch. These two teams like to play at two completely different paces, so it will be interesting to see who can control the tempo. Florida has a very explosive offense and they don’t play much defense, while Houston is the best defensive team in the nation. I do think this total is a little low when you factor in how Florida likes to play, but I like the shot making that the Gators have and they are extremely deep. Take Florida to get the huge win here.