Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Easton Lucas will get the start for the Blue Jays and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Lucas’ first career start against the Red Sox. Boston will send out Richard Fitts for the start here and Fitts is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Fitts’ second career start against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back after being swept by the New York Mets thanks to a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Mets in Sunday’s series finale. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road again for a set against the Baltimore Orioles.

Blue Jays Drop Three In A Row

George Springer has 11 hits and Bo Bichette has 12 hits with Springer adding a home run, a triple, 2 doubles and 5 RBIs while Bichette has 3 doubles and 4 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 9 hits with a pair of doubles and a team-high 3 home runs and 6 RBIs this season while Springer, has a team-high 11 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bichette each have a team-high 3 doubles while Springer also has a .379 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The underdogs have won 11 of the Blue Jays’ last 14 games at Fenway Park.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven road games against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.
• George Springer ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.379) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to build on their sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals this past weekend after taking both legs of Sunday’s double-header, picking up a 5-4 win in 10 innings in game one and an 18-7 win in game two on Sunday night. After this series, the Red Sox will head out on the road for a set against the Chicago White Sox.

Red Sox Win Five Straight

Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with 15 hits including a team-high 5 doubles with 2 home runs and 10 RBIs while Kristian Campbell has 12 hits with 4 doubles, 2 homers and 5 RBIs. Wilyer Abreu’s added 14 hits with a team-high 3 home runs, 12 RBIs and a .483 batting average. Jarren Duran has chipped in a team-high 3 stolen bases while Rafael Devers has the dubious distinction of leading the Red Sox with 17 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The home team has won each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six road games.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in four of their last five games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last five home games against the Blue Jays.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 appearances at Fenway Park.
• Trevor Story has recorded a Single in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Alex Bregman has recorded two or more hits in seven of his last eight appearances at Fenway Park.
• Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Alex Bregman ranks T1st in the league in Hits (15) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I get the case to be made for Boston as the Red Sox at Fenway can be a tough out at times, but I’m worried about the depth for the Red Sox after a double dip on Sunday and the Red Sox all-time are 0-5 in team starts with Fitts on the mound. Lucas looked really good in his season debut for Toronto, and could hold onto a spot in the rotation if he keeps this up. I think Toronto needs to come out with a strong showing here after a weak offensive output against the Mets so give me Toronto at plus money here.