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Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction 4/27/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (13-13) vs. NY Yankees (15-11)
April 27, 2025 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -192 / Toronto Blue Jays 154; Over/Under: 8
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In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 27th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 15-11 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Friday night. New York scored two late runs in the game to lead 2-1, but they allowed three runs in the ninth for the loss. The Yankees recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Wells and Cabrera, who both had one RBI in the loss. New York started Carrasco, who allowed just three hits over 5.0 innings, while Williams allowed three earned runs and two hits in the ninth for the blown save and loss. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Guardians, but did win three out of four against the Rays before that. New York has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .202 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 139 runs with a .259 batting average and a .345 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with seven home runs and 26 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added seven home runs and 15 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is Max Fried, who is 4-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched. The projected starter for game two is Clarke Schmidt, who is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-13 this season after they won game one on Friday night. Toronto led 1-0 in the sixth inning, but they needed three runs in the ninth for the exciting win. The Blue Jays recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Kirk, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Fluharty got the win and Hoffman picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost all three against the Astros and two out of three against the Mariners. Toronto has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently battling with Boston for second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 92 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero has led Toronto with two home runs and 11 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added three home runs and eight RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Kevin Gausman, who is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched. The projected starter for game two is Chris Bassitt, who is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five day games against the Yankees following a win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Yankees following a win.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last six day games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Sunday home games.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Yankees

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Sixteen of the Blue Jays’ last 18 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six day games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 13 day games.
  • Anthony Volpe has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last six home games against the Blue Jays.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against the Blue Jays.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL East opponents.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents at Yankee Stadium.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 14 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against the Yankees after not playing the previous day.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Yankees.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees after not playing the previous day.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction 

New York comes into this doubleheader with the home-field advantage, but they have struggled in their last few games. The Yankees are 8-5 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 5-8 on the road. Toronto is struggling to score runs once again this season, but its pitching staff has been very good through 26 games. In game one of this doubleheader, I think Fried and the Yankees have the advantage. In game two, I don’t like how Schmidt has looked through two outings, while Bassitt has been very good. Take the Yankees to win game one and the Blue Jays to win game two. 

David Racey's Free Pick: GM1: Yankees ML GM2: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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