Stars vs Avalanche Prediction 4/28/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Monday, April 28, at the
American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche (51-29-6, 38-48 ATS) responded to back-to-back overtime losses to tie the series against the Dallas Stars at 2-2 with a convincing 4-0 victory a couple of nights ago. Captain Gabriel Landeskog scored his first goal in nearly three years, while Logan O’Connor, Nathan MacKinnon, and Samuel Girard also scored for the Avalanche. Colorado outshot Dallas 48-23, and Mackenzie Blackwood recorded his fifth shutout of the season after stopping all 23 shots he faced.

The Avalanche average 3.33 goals per game this year (6th), while they allow 2.82 GPG (11th). Nathan MacKinnon leads the team with 121 points (36 G and 85 A). Cale Makar contributes 94 points (30 G and 64 A), while Artturi Lehkonen has 47 points (28 G and 19 A).

Mackenzie Blackwood (30-23-6) will likely take his place in the cage for the Avs on Monday against the Stars. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.55 goals per game this year with a .912 SV% and five shutouts.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars (52-28-6, 39-47 ATS) fought back from an opening loss in the series and secured two overtime wins to make it 2-1 and restore the home-ice advantage. However, the Stars were powerless in Game 4 as they were blown away by the aggressive Avs, who didn’t give them a breather. Jake Oettinger saved 31 of 34 shots he faced, while Casey DeSmith stopped 13 of 14 shots.

The Stars score 3.35 goals per game on average (3rd), while they concede 2.71 GPG (6th). This season, Matt Duchene leads the team with 82 points (30 G and 52 A). Jason Robertson has 80 points (35 G and 45 A), while Wyatt Johnston chips in with 73 points (33 G and 40 A).

Jake Oettinger (37-20-4) is expected to start for the Stars at the goal on Monday against the Avalanche. The 26-year-old is allowing 2.59 goals per game this year with a .909 SV% and two shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Avalanche’s last six games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine road games against the Stars.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Stars’ last 10 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).

Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, as each recorded five of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the Avs won four of seven H2Hs. If they had a bit more luck, the Avalanche would be at least 3-1 up in this series, and maybe they would sweep the Stars, but Dallas’ two OT wins prevented them from advancing to the next round. I think the Avs have a better offense and will score 4+ goals here as they deserve to have a lead in the series. Still, I am not backing them to win, I am going with the goals instead. Back Over.