Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 30, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (17-14, 9-8 Away) responded to a three-game losing skid with three consecutive victories. The Red Sox secured back-to-back wins over the Guardians and then opened this series against the Blue Jays with a 10-2 win, making it two in a row with 10+ runs scored. Wilyer Abreu led the offense with three RBI, while Garrett Crochet got the win after allowing two runs on four hits with six strikeouts and three walks over 7.0 innings of work.

This season, the Red Sox average 5.10 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .253/.334/.423 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.97 ERA (14th) and 1.30 WHIP (17th). Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with a .331 batting average, six home runs, and 23 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Lucas Giolito, who will start for the first time this season, in what will be his debut for Boston.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (13-16, 8-6 Home) are going through their worst sequence of the season after losing eight of the previous nine games. The Blue Jays were swept by the Astros, lost the series to the Yankees, and opened this one against Boston with a big 10-2 defeat. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit a two-run homer, which was all the Jays did offensively. Bowden Francis took the loss after allowing seven runs on eight hits with one strikeout and no walks in 3.0 innings.

This year, the Blue Jays average 3.34 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .236/.308/.341 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.27 ERA (21st) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with a .271 batting average, three home runs, and 14 RBI this season.

At the time of writing, the Blue Jays still haven’t announced the name of their starter for this clash against the Red Sox.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites against the Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (16).
• The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (208).
• The Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (272).
• The Red Sox rank T3rd in the league for RBIs this season (150).

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H duels. This season, the Blue Jays lead 3-2. I am not sure who is going to take the mound for Toronto on Wednesday, but I believe it’s going to be a shaky start for Giolito, who hasn’t played since 2023. Giolito will probably stay for three or four innings, but the Blue Jays will do damage early on, as I believe Giolito will carry a bit of rust in this one. On the other hand, Boston has been red-hot offensively recently, and I am sure the visitors will score enough runs to help us win the Over bet.