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Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 5/9/25 NHL Picks Today

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4) vs. Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
May 9, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Panthers -230 / Toronto Maple Leafs 190; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Panthers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Friday, May 9, at the Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs (58-27-5, 47-43 ATS) eliminated the Ottawa Senators in six games in Round 1 of the playoffs, and then opened the current series against the Florida Panthers with a pair of victories at home. Following a 5-4 win in Game 1, the Maple Leafs secured a 4-3 win in Game 2. Max Pacioretty, William Nylander, Max Domi, and Mitch Marner scored for Toronto, while Joseph Woll stopped 25 of 28 shots he faced.

The Maple Leafs average 3.50 goals per game this postseason (5th), while they allow 2.88 GPG (3rd). William Nylander leads the team with 13 points (6 G and 7 A). Mitch Marner contributes 10 points (2 G and 8 A), while Auston Matthews has 8 points (2 G and 6 A).

Joseph Woll (2-0-0) will likely take his place in the cage for the Maple Leafs on Friday against the Panthers. The 26-year-old is allowing 4.01 goals per game this playoffs with a .875 SV% and no shutouts.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers (51-34-4, 39-50 ATS) didn’t have problems with the Tampa Bay Lightning in Round 1, as they needed just five games to clinch that series, but this one against Toronto is something else. Although they were close in both games in Canada, the Panthers lost them, and now they are desperate to win in Game 3. Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand, and Anton Lundell scored for Florida in the recent 4-3 defeat, while Sergei Bobrovsky saved 16 of 20 shots he faced.

The Panthers score 3.71 goals per game on average in the playoffs (4th), while they concede 3.00 GPG (6th). This postseason, Anton Lundell leads the team with 8 points (3 G and 5 A). Eetu Luostarinen has 8 points (2 G and 6 A), while Brad Marchand chips in with 7 points (1 G and 6 A).

Sergei Bobrovsky (4-3-0) is expected to start for the Panthers at the goal on Friday against the Maple Leafs. The 36-year-old is allowing 2.90 goals per game this playoffs with a .876 SV% and no shutouts.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Panthers’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last six games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Florida Panthers rank 2nd in the league in short-handed goals this season (12).
  • The Florida Panthers rank 3rd in the league for shots per game this season (31.6).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.79).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.23).

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the last couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 3-3. The Panthers know they will be in an impossible position if they fall to a 0-3 hole, so I am sure they will open this game quite aggressively. The Maple Leafs will have a chance on the counter as they don’t have to rush anything. The goalies haven’t been good in this series, and I believe that trend will continue in Game 3. Eight of Florida’s last ten games went Over, and I am backing another Over in this one.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 6

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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