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Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction 5/13/25 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (18-22) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (20-20)
May 13, 2025 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -125 / Tampa Bay Rays +105; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Tuesday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Shane Baz for the start in this one, and Baz is 3-2 with a 4.93 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. In his career, Baz is 2-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Jose Berrios will get the nod for the Blue Jays here and is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rays, Berrios is 3-2 with a 2.51 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-2 win in Sunday’s series finale against the Milwaukee Brewers to fall to 18-22 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for an interleague series against the Miami Marlins.

Rays Looking To Build Off Of Series Win

Jonathan Aranda has 39 hits with a team-high 9 doubles, 5 home runs, and 18 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 26 hits with 5 homers and 18 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 36 hits with 6 doubles, a team-high 7 home runs, and 16 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 38 hits with 8 doubles, 6 homers, and 20 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 27 hits with 7 doubles, 3 homers, and 11 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has a team-high 45 strikeouts this season. Jose Caballero has 9 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 5 stolen bases, and Chandler Simpson has 7 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Tuesday games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
  • Taylor Walls has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Rays as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last three road games against the Blue Jays.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Jonathan Aranda ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.429) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their 9-1 win over the Seattle Mariners last time out to improve to 20-20 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will welcome the Detroit Tigers to town for a series.

Blue Jays Win Four In A Row

George Springer has 35 hits and Bo Bichette has 48 hits, with Springer adding 5 home runs, a triple, 9 doubles, and 18 RBIs while Bichette has 12 doubles and 18 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 25 hits with 5 doubles and 3 home runs and 10 RBIs this season, along with 9 stolen bases, while Anthony Santander has a team-high 36 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 4 homers, 7 doubles, and 18 RBIs, while Springer also has a .297 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Rays have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents following a loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last two games against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games.
  • George Springer ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rays’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I get the case to be made for the Rays, but the Blue Jays have found something offensively right now, they looked really good at sweeping the Mariners, and I trust Jose Berrios at home here. Shane Baz has had great numbers against Toronto, and almost all of Baz’s starts have come at home at Steinbrenner Field, where he’s had issues this season. However, I think that the Blue Jays break through and get a win here. Give me Toronto.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -125

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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