Red Sox vs Mets Prediction 5/20/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 20th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 24-25 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-1 on Monday night. Boston led 3-0 after the second inning, and they were able to get the win, despite not scoring over the last six innings. The Red Sox recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Duran, Bregman, and Story, who all had one RBI in the win. Boston started Dobbins, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Wilson picked up the win and Chapman got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Tigers. Boston has lost five of their last seven games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 237 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Walker Buehler, who is 4-1 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 29-19 this year after they lost game one in this series last night. New York was able to cut the deficit to 3-1 in the third inning, and they had plenty of baserunners throughout the night, but couldn’t find any more runs in the loss. The Mets recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Taylor, who had their lone RBI in the loss. New York started Senga, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Castillo and Butto combined for two scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Pirates before that. New York has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.87 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 213 runs with a .247 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with nine home runs and 37 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added nine home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 5-2 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 48.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Mets

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Mets and Red Sox.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 Tuesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets at Fenway Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mets’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox’s last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five games at Fenway Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Mets and Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Walker Buehler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 14 games against NL East opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a Single in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against NL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jose Siri has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded a Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded an RBI in four of his five previous appearances against the Red Sox.

Red Sox vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this contest desperately looking for a win, but their offense has really struggled in their last five games. The Mets are 12-14 on the road this year, while the Red Sox are 13-11 at home. Boston has won two of their last three games, and they are starting Buehler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts but is coming off the IL. New York is going with Holmes, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. I like how Buehler has pitched this season, and with the Mets struggling at the plate, I will take the Red Sox to win.