Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction 5/20/25 NBA Picks Today

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Tuesday in the NBA playoffs Game 1 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Warriors in five games and are in the conference finals for a second straight season. The Timberwolves will play for the first time in six days and have won seven of their last eight games. The Timberwolves have won three straight road games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 101.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.5 points and 8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 23.9 points and 5.9 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Nuggets in seven games, and they’re in the conference finals for the first time since the 2015-16 season. The Thunder are 5-1 at home in these playoffs. The Thunder will play their fourth game in the last week.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 117.1 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 104.2 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 19.6 points and 5.4 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Isaiah Hartenstein is grabbing 8.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 31.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last seven home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Timberwolves have lost each of their five previous Western Conference Finals games following a win.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last five home games following a home win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight playoff games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Thunder have lost five of their last six playoff games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in 16 of their last 17 games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a win.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.7) this season.
• Cason Wallace ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (66.9%) this season.
• Anthony Edwards ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic.

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction

As I’ve said before, the Thunder are going to be favored in nearly every game, and they’re the safest bet in sports, where they’re 59-31-4 ATS on the season. With a 40-7 SU record at home, the Thunder should be favored. However, this line is disrespectful. The Timberwolves are a good team that has the rest advantage and has the experience of being in the conference finals last year.

It seems like everybody thinks the Thunder will have their way in this series, and I don’t get it. The Nuggets, who had like three and a half reliable / heathy players, just took the Thunder to seven games. The Timberwolves are healthy, deeper and can play a variety of ways with their size. It feels like nobody is taking the Timberwolves or that they’re fluky, and I just don’t get it. Since February, the Timberwolves are 5-2 SU as an underdog. I wouldn’t be shocked if the Timberwolves won this series, so getting points with them is the side I’m going to be on.