
Pirates vs Reds Prediction 5/20/25 MLB Picks Today
Cincinnati Reds (25-24) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (15-33)
May 20, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates 105 / Cincinnati Reds -125; Over/Under: 8
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The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Tuesday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Pirates vs Reds Pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 25-24 on the year and play the Cubs, Royals, and Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .245 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .397 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 48 hits and 33 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Gavin Lux have combined for 92 hits and 39 RBI.
Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 2-4 with a 3.66 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Martinez is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 15-33 on the year and play the Brewers, Diamondbacks, and Padres next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .216 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .320 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 41 hits and 15 RBI, while Bryan Reynolds and Isiah Kiner-Falefa have combined for 73 hits and 30 RBI.
Bailey Falter gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Falter is 0-4 with a 6.81 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won 11 of their last 12 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday night games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday games against the Reds.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Pirates have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won each of their last five games.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against the Pirates.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Joey Bart has recorded an RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games against the Reds at PNC Park.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances with the Pirates as underdogs.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Tuesday appearances with the Pirates as underdogs.
- Jack Suwinski has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Ji-Hwan Bae has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Oneil Cruz ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (16) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 games as road favorites.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Will Benson has hit at least one home run in four of the Reds’ last five games.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (16) this season.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
The Reds are finally starting to get things going with five straight wins and a pitching staff that’s showing signs of life. Martinez has been solid this season, and he’s allowed 16 hits and four runs in his last 19 innings. The Pirates have been fade material all year, and that doesn’t change with them winning just four games since April 26. The Pirates have scored three runs in their last three games. Falter has been incredible this month, allowing seven hits and one run in his last 16.2 innings, but it doesn’t matter if the Pirates can’t score. These are two teams heading in different directions. Give me the Reds and the reasonable price.