
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction 5/21/25 MLB Picks Today
Texas Rangers (25-24) vs. NY Yankees (28-19)
May 21, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -115 / Texas Rangers -105; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Rangers and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Rangers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Texas Rangers will send out Jacob deGrom for the start here, and deGrom is 4-1 with a 2.29 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, deGrom is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 34 strikeouts. Ryan Yarbrough will get the start for the Yankees and is 1-0 with a 3.70 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. In his career, Yarbrough is 0-2 with a 5.49 ERA and 16 strikeouts against the Rangers.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the Yankees in Tuesday’s matchup to slip to 25-24 on the year. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Rangers Drop Back-To-Back Games
Corey Seager has 30 hits, including 6 home runs and 12 RBIs, while Adolis Garcia has 37 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs, 24 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 40 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs, and 19 RBIs, while Wyatt Langford has 35 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs, 20 RBIs, and 9 stolen bases, and Jonah Heim has 5 homers and 15 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 39 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs, and 11 RBIs with 4 stolen bases, and Marcus Semien’s added 3 homers and 17 RBIs but has a team-high 43 strikeouts this season.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won each of their last seven Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Wednesday night games against teams that held a winning record.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Wyatt Langford has recorded a Double in three of the Rangers’ last four games against the Yankees.
- Jonah Heim has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
- Jacob deGrom ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.29) this season.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees will be looking to keep the momentum going after picking up the win in Tuesday’s matchup to improve to 28-19 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for an interleague series against the Colorado Rockies.
Yankees Win 7 Of Their Last 10
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 71 hits, including 15 home runs, 41 RBIs, 13 doubles, and a .401 batting average, along with 3 stolen bases, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. has 7 home runs, 17 RBIs, and 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 13 doubles with 7 stolen bases, 6 home runs, and 25 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 9 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 59 hits with 11 doubles and a .339 batting average, while Volpe also has a team-high 49 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 35 hits with 10 doubles, 9 home runs, and 20 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 7 homers with 28 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 8 home runs and 28 RBIs, with both Bellinger and Wells chipping in 8 doubles apiece.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight night games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have lost five of their last six games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 21 games against AL opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rangers.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (73) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Rangers’ last 13 games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Yankees’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction
I’m backing the Yankees here. I just think that while Jacob deGrom is the Rangers’ staff ace, and can undoubtedly have a good start here. Likewise, I think that the lack of consistent offense could come back to hurt the Rangers and waste a perfectly good start from deGrom here. The Yankees’ bats have been cooking as of late, and I think that they do enough to back Yarbrough here and get the win in the end. Give me the Yankees here.