Phillies vs Rockies Prediction 5/22/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the Colorado Rockies on Thursday, May 22^nd at the Coors Field in the fourth game of this series, with the Phillies having a 3-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Rockies Prediction. We will examine:

The Colorado Rockies’ recent form and player performance

The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies game

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have an 8-41 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL West. The Rockies have a 5-19 home record and are 21-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-9 home defeat by the Phillies, and are 1-8 in their last 9 games. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 home games, and they are playing the Cubs and the Yankees next.

The Rockies have a .219 batting average this season, a .286 OBP, and a .362 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.92 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.  Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 51 hits, adding a team-high 31 RBI, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Jordan Beck adds a team-high 8 home runs.

German Marquez (R) will take the mound for the Rockies, and he has a 1-6 record, 8.78 ERA, and 1.83 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 5.71 ERA across three home starts, but he has given up 5+ runs in six of his last eight starts. In his previous start against the Phillies this season, he had a shutout performance in 6 innings pitched. Germán Márquez has a 3-2 record with an ERA of 3.31 and 54 strikeouts in 9 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 31-18 record this season and are sitting in first place in the NL East. They have a 14-10 road record and are 22-26 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-5 road victory over the Rockies, and are 9-2 in their last 11 games. They are playing the Athletics and the Braves next.

The Phillies have a .265 batting average this season, a .340 OBP, and a .414 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.  Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 60 hits and in batting average with .308, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 37 RBI and a team-high 17 home runs.

Ranger Suarez (L) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 2-0 record, 5.09 ERA, and 1.13 WHIP. His only road start this season was a shutout performance in 7 innings pitched against the Guardians. Ranger Suárez has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 2.91 and 31 strikeouts in 6 appearances versus the Rockies in his career.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last six day games against the Rockies following a road win.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five Thursday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Phillies at Coors Field following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games following a road win.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against the Phillies at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against the Phillies at Coors Field.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rockies’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last seven day games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank T1st in the league for triples this season (13).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (480).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (477).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.265).

Phillies vs Rockies Prediction

The Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 overall meetings against the Rockies, and are 4-3 in their last 7 meetings in Colorado. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Rockies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as huge -305 road favorites. The Phillies are rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, with the Rockies having the worst record in the MLB. The Phillies are looking unstoppable in this series, having outscored the Rockies by 25-12, and are now up against German Marquez, who has been terrible this season.

Suarez’s two of his three starts this season have been bad, but this is a perfect bounce-back spot for him, as the Rockies are weaker against lefties, with just a .193 batting average. Take once again the Philadelphia Phillies on the runline in this one.