Astros vs Rays Prediction 5/29/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 29th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 30-25 this year after they won both games against the Athletics by scores of 11-1 and 5-3. In their game two win, Houston trailed 2-0 in the third and 3-2 in the fifth, but they scored the final three runs in the game for the win. The Astros recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Caratini, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Houston started McCullers Jr., who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Dubin picked up the win and Hader got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Astros won three out of four against the Mariners, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that. Houston has won four games in a row, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .216 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 230 runs with a .255 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Jeremy Pena has added seven home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ryan Gusto, who is 3-2 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 28-27 this season after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 7-2, 2-4, and 5-0. In their game three win, Tampa Bay scored three runs in the fourth inning, which was enough to get the shutout win. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Caminero, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Rasmussen, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Uceta, Montgomery, and Seabold completed the shutout. 

Prior to that series, the Rays swept the Blue Jays in three games and won two out of three against the Astros. Tampa Bay has won seven of its last eight games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 226 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with 11 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Junior Caminero has added 10 home runs and 26 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 4-3 with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 54.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Astros will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost each of their last seven night games at Daikin Park following a win.
• The Astros have won each of their last eight Thursday home games.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 13 Thursday games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.

Why the Rays will beat the Astros

• The Rays have won eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
• The Astros have lost 11 of their last 16 games as favorites following a home win.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 18 Thursday games as underdogs.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Rays and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Fifteen of the Rays’ last 17 night games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games as home favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last two games against the Rays.
• Yainer Diaz has scored at least one run in eight of the Astros’ last nine night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Astros’ last 15 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Astros as home favorites.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last seven games.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 13 games against AL opponents.
• Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Astros vs Rays Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series playing very well in recent games, so this should be a fun series to watch. Houston is 20-10 at home this year, while Tampa Bay is 10-8 on the road. The Rays have won seven of their last eight games, and they have scored at least five runs in three of their last four. TB is starting Baz, who has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five outings. Houston is starting Gusto, who has allowed two earned runs in two of his last three starts, but he doesn’t pitch very deep into games and allowed seven earned runs two starts ago. Take the over here.