Reds vs Yankees Prediction 6/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Reds vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23rd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-38 this year after they lost two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 1-6, 5-6, and 4-1. In their game three win, Cincinnati was tied at one in the second inning, but they scored the last three runs in the game for the win. The Reds recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Friedl, McLain, Lux, and Fraley, who all had one RBI in the win. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Pagan picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Reds won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Tigers. Cincinnati has won five of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 360 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 17 home runs and 52 RBIs, while TJ Friedl has added eight home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 5-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 45-32 this season after they won two out of three against Baltimore by scores of 3-5, 9-0, and 4-2. In their game three win, New York trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they scored the last three runs to escape with the win. The Yankees recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Chisholm Jr., who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. New York started Warren, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Cruz picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees lost three out of four against the Angels and all three against the Red Sox. New York has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 395 runs with a .256 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 27 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 15 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Allan Winans, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Reds

• The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Yankees and Reds.
• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Yankees and Reds.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three night games at Great American Ball Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 11 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Yankees and Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs.
• Will Benson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Lodolo has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Reds as home underdogs.
• TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (21) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 12 of the Yankees’ last 13 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Reds.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (105) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (682).
• The Reds rank 6th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.232).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (305).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).

Reds vs Yankees Prediction 

New York has started to turn things around after a rough stretch and they are coming off of a series win over Baltimore. The Yankees are 21-16 on the road this year, while the Reds are 20-17 at home. Cincinnati snapped their small losing streak on a Sunday afternoon and they are starting Lodolo, who has allowed 2, 6, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. I think we could see plenty of offense in this game, but I have to take New York at this price, especially with them starting to heat up. Take the Yankees here.