Orioles vs Rays Prediction 6/29/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Orioles vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Taj Bradley for the start here and Bradley is 5-5 with a 4.57 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Bradley is 1-2 with an 8.71 ERA and 26 strikeouts. Dean Kremer will get the start for Baltimore here and is 6-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rays, Kremer is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 11-3 win over the Orioles on Saturday to sit at 47-36 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head home for a series against the Athletics.

Rays Win 4 Of Last 5

Jonathan Aranda has 87 hits with a team-high 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 44 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 81 hits with 17 homers and 48 RBIs as well while Junior Caminero has 79 hits with 17 doubles, a team-high 20 home runs and 51 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 91 hits with 16 doubles, 13 homers and 47 RBIs and Kameron Misner has 42 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers and 22 RBIs as well while Christopher Morel has 61 strikeouts while Lowe has 77 strikeouts and Misner has 69 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 29 stolen bases while Taylor Walls has 9 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in each of the Rays’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.411) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Rays on Saturday to sit at 35-47 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Orioles Drop 5 Of Their Last 7

Cedric Mullins has 50 hits so far this season as well as 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and a .210 batting average while Adley Rutschman has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 8 homers and 20 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 77 hits with 12 doubles, 2 triples, 10 homers and 33 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers and 15 RBIs and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 79 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn’s also chipped in 69 hits with 9 doubles and 11 home runs with 30 RBIs and Heston Kjerstad’s added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last four day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

I’m on the Orioles here. I have been riding the Orioles a lot as of late, but the thing is that the Orioles haven’t been too shabby against right-handed pitching themselves. Furthermore, I’m not a fan of the form that Taj Bradley is in right now, as of late, and in his career against Baltimore. Dean Kremer’s actually had his better numbers at home this season and I think that he gets the job done, as do the Orioles here.