Phillies vs Padres Prediction 6/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 30th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-35 this season after they won two out of three against Atlanta by scores of 13-0, 1-6, and 2-1. In their game three win, Philadelphia trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they scored the final two runs in the game for the win. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Kemp and Turner, who both had one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Strahm picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies lost all three against the Astros, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Philadelphia has lost four of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 386 runs with a .255 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added 11 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zach Wheeler, who is 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 45-38 this year after they lost two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 1-8, 6-4, and 2-3. In their game three loss, San Diego led 2-1 in the ninth inning, but they blew the save opportunity and ended up with the loss. The Padres recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Bogaerts and Iglesias, who both had one RBI in the loss. San Diego started Kolek, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.1 innings, while Suarez allowed two earned runs in the ninth for the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Padres won two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Royals. San Diego has won three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 345 runs with a .247 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 15 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 13 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who is making his first start of the season after coming off of the IL. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Padres

• The Padres have lost each of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL West opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against the Padres.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 home games against the Padres.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (100) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games as underdogs.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Double in three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Manny Machado ranks T10th in the league in Hits (93) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (775).
• The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.328).
• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (579).
• The Padres rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.229).

Phillies vs Padres Prediction

Philadelphia was able to get two big wins over Atlanta in their last series and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Phillies are 26-14 at home this year, while the Padres are 20-24 on the road. San Diego blew a great chance to win on Sunday and they will start Waldron, who is a big question mark coming into this game. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last four starts. Take the Phillies to win by at least two runs here.