Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 9, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies (21-71, 11-35 Away) lost five series in a row as they lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros, and Chicago White Sox. It’s going to be six straight after losing the first two games of the series against the Boston Red Sox. In last night’s 10-2 defeat, Hunter Goodman led the offense with a two-run homer, while Kyle Freeland took the loss after allowing three runs on four hits with six strikeouts and two walks in 5.2 innings.

This year, the Rockies average 3.56 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .231/.292/.381 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.54 ERA (30th) and 1.56 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .280 batting average, 17 home runs, and 52 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-12 in 17 starts this season, with a 6.57 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 86.1 innings.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (48-45, 27-20 Home) won two series in a row against the Cincinnati Reds and Washington Nationals, sweeping the Nats in three games on the road. Boston will add another series win following a pair of victories against the Rockies. In Tuesday’s 10-2 win, a former Rockie, Trevor Story, led the offense with four RBI, while Brayan Bello got the win in a complete game, allowing two runs on five hits with ten strikeouts and one walk.

This season, the Red Sox average 4.97 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .255/.325/.430 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 3.94 ERA (16th) and 1.32 WHIP (21st). Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with a .252 batting average, 15 home runs, and 57 RBI this season.

Lucas Giolito will take the mound for the Red Sox on Wednesday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 5-1 record in 12 starts this year with a 3.66 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 66.1 innings.

Why the Red Sox will cover

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 10 night games following a loss.
• The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Wednesday night games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last three night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six Wednesday games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five night games between the Rockies and Red Sox at Fenway Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (851).
• The Red Sox are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.60).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (607).

Red Sox vs Rockies Prediction

The Red Sox won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. Boston won both games of this series with ease, and I am backing the hosts to get another comfortable victory and complete a sweep. Antonio Senzatela is having a bad season, and although he improved a bit in June, posting a 5.56 ERA, he allowed ten runs in his previous three starts. I am backing the Red Sox to score 3+ off of him early on. Lucas Giolito, on the other hand, surrendered just three runs in his last five starts, three of which were shutouts. Giolito shouldn’t have problems against one of the weakest offenses in the MLB. Back Boston to win and cover.