Reds vs Rockies Prediction 7/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies meet Friday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Rockies Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Rockies Pick.

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 21-72 on the year and play the Twins, Cardinals, and Orioles next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .230 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 5.66 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Colorado Rockies with 88 hits and 52 RBI while Jordan Beck and Ryan McMahon have combined for 147 hits and 57 RBI.

German Marquez gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he is 3-10 with a 5.84 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. Marquez is 4-1 with a 4.78 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 48-46 on the year and play the Mets, Nationals, and Rays next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .245 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 101 hits and 63 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 174 hits and 69 RBI.

Chase Burns gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 0-1 with a 8.10 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ first career game against the Colorado Rockies.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 16 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Rockies.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a loss.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Rockies’ last four games.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in 14 of their last 15 road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday home games.
• The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The road team has won four of the last five games between the Rockies and Reds.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in five of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances with the Reds as favorites against the Rockies.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Rockies.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T8th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• German Marquez has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his 11 previous road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
• German Marquez has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances against the Reds.
• Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kris Bryant has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Jordan Beck is one of only six players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Reds vs Rockies Prediction

Another Rockies game, another chance to fade them for profit. There’s just no backing the Rockies, a team that’s won just four games since June 19. Marquez has a 5.84 ERA and 1.62 WHIP on the season, and he has a 6.48 ERA and .324 allowed batting average in 50 road innings. It’s terrible, folks. The Reds need to take advantage of games like this if they’re going to make a second half push, and while Burns has been awful through 10 MLB innings, it’s the Rockies. I don’t bet on the Rockies. It’s that simple. Give me the Reds and the RL for max betting value.