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Tigers vs Rangers Prediction 7/18/25 MLB Picks Today

Tigers vs Rangers
July 18, 2025 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Tigers -116 / Rangers +105 / Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers are visiting the Texas Rangers on Friday, July 18th at the Globe Life Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Rangers Prediction. We will examine:

The Texas Rangers’ recent form and player performance


The Detroit Tigers’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between the Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers game

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 48-49 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL West. The Rangers have a 26-19 home record and are 38-57 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-1 road victory over the Astros, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Braves next.

The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, a .300 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 84 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .277 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 56.

Patrick Corbin (L) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 6-7 record, 4.15 ERA, and 1.32 WHIP.

Detroit Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers have a 48-49 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL Central. The Tigers have a 27-20 road record and are 50-42 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-8 home defeat by the Mariners and have four consecutive losses. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games, and they’re playing the Pirates and the Blue Jays next.

The Tigers have a .252 batting average this season, a 324 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 104 hits, adding a team-high 78 RBI and 24 home runs. Zach McKinstry is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average.

Reese Olson (R) will take the mound for the Tigers, and he has a 4-3 record, 2.95 ERA, and 1.24 WHIP.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Tigers have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Rangers’ last seven games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against the Rangers following a loss.
  • The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have won the first inning in each of their last three games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Tigers have won seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Rangers’ last four games.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Tigers’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight night games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Tigers’ last seven games as road favorites against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.28).
  • The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (346).
  • The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (40).
  • The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (20).

Tigers vs Rangers Prediction

The Rangers are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Tigers, including a 2-1 series win this season in Detroit. Under is 5-4-1 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Tigers vs Rangers Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -125 road favorites. The Tigers are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, but both teams have similarly good home/away splits. Corbin has been in poor form lately for the Rangers, with a 5.33 ERA in his last five starts, and both teams are better against the opposing starter’s throwing hand, with 9.8 average total runs. Both teams are also 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games combined, so I expect I high-scoring affair today. Take the over 8.5 runs.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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