Yankees vs Phillies Prediction 7/27/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 56-48 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 5-12 and 4-9. In their game two loss, New York cut the deficit to 4-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next five runs in the defeat. The Yankees recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stanton, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. New York started Stroman, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Winans allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. New York has lost four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 539 runs with a .254 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 37 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 19 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Carlos Rodon, who is 10-7 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-44 this season after they won game two in this series by a score of 9-4 on Saturday afternoon. Philadelphia jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the fourth inning, and they cruised to the easy victory. The Phillies recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Sosa, Turner, and Schwarber, who all had two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Robert allowed two earned runs in relief.  

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Red Sox, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that. Philadelphia has won four of its last five games, and they are currently in a battle with the Mets for first in the NL East. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 490 runs with a .256 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 36 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 13 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 9-3 with a 2.39 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP over 128.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Phillies

• The Yankees have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites following a win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Phillies will beat the Yankees

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games at Yankee Stadium.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Phillies and Yankees.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road day games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Yankees’ last 11 day games against National League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Phillies.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four road games against the Yankees.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games against the Yankees.

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction 

New York comes into this contest looking to snap a three-game losing streak, and their pitching staff continues to struggle, as they have allowed 29 runs in their last three games. The Yankees are 30-21 at home this year, while the Phillies are 27-25 on the road. Philadelphia has played well over their last five games, but they have been inconsistent over the last month. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Yankees are going with Rodon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take the under here.