Cubs vs Orioles Prediction 8/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 63-45 this year after they lost two out of three against Milwaukee by scores of 4-8, 3-9, and 10-3. In their game three win, Chicago had their lead cut to 5-3 in the fifth inning, but they scored the final five runs in the game for the easy win. The Cubs recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Ballesteros, who went 1-2 with three RBIs in the win. Chicago started Imanaga, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Keller, Thielbar, and Palencia threw 4.0 shutout innings. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs won two out of three against the White Sox, but did lose two out of three against the Royals before that. Chicago has won three of their last five games, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 570 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 26 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Cade Horton, who is 4-3 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 68.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 50-59 this season after they won three out of four against Toronto by scores of 11-4, 16-4, 3-2, and 8-9. In their game four loss, Baltimore led 5-3 in the fifth inning, but their bullpen fell apart and their rally came up short in the late innings. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Westburg, Rutschman, and O’Hearn, who all had two RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Cano allowed five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Rockies, but lost three out of four against the Guardians before that. Baltimore has won five of their last six games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 482 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 12 home runs and 43 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 4-1 with a 1.49 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Orioles

• The Cubs have won seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last five road games following a home loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Wrigley Field following a road win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a home loss.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Orioles.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Orioles.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Cubs’ last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six road games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 day games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ian Happ has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction

Baltimore had their winning streak snapped on Wednesday, and it traded a few of their better players on Thursday, so they have officially waved the white flag on the season. The Orioles are 23-32 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 33-19 at home. Chicago continues to battle the Brewers in the Central, and they are starting Horton, who has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last four starts. Baltimore is going with Rogers, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. I think Rogers has been very good for Baltimore, but I am worried about their lineup after all of the trades. Take the Cubs -1.5 here.