Pittsburgh Pirates (47-62) vs. Colorado Rockies (28-80)
August 1, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 124 / Pittsburgh Pirates -151; Over/Under: 11.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rockies vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates (47-62, 16-37 Away) are playing their best baseball this season and are one of the hottest teams in the second half after winning eight of the previous nine games. Pittsburgh was swept by the White Sox to start the second half, but responded with a sweep of the Tigers. After that, the Pirates beat the Diamondbacks and swept the Giants. In the latest extra-inning 2-1 victory, Mike Burrows pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. Isaac Mattson was credited with the win.
This year, the Pirates average 3.39 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .231/.301/.341 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.68 ERA (7th) and 1.19 WHIP (3rd). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .232 batting average, ten home runs, and 51 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Pirates is Andrew Heaney, who is 5-9 in 20 starts this season, with a 4.79 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 107.0 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (28-80, 14-38 Home) returned home from a two-series road trip on which they lost to the Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Guardians, despite winning the opening games in each series. In the most recent 5-0 defeat to the Guardians, Kyle Freeland took the loss after allowing two runs on three hits with no strikeouts and no walks in 3.0 innings.
This season, the Rockies average 3.59 runs per game (29th in the MLB) on a .233/.292/.385 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.65 ERA (30th) and 1.58 WHIP (30th). Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with a .277 batting average, 19 home runs, and 59 RBI this season.
Antonio Senzatela will take the mound for the Rockies on Friday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 4-14 record in 20 starts this year with a 6.68 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 102.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last three games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Brewers’ last 11 road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for runs allowed this season (573).
- The Nationals rank 27th in the league for walks this season (314).
- The Brewers are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
- The Brewers are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction
The Pirates won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last five. Even though these teams haven’t been Over-friendly for the bettors this season, I am backing Over in this one because of the pitching matchup. Andrew Heaney allowed 3+ runs in five of his previous seven starts, including 14 runs in his last four starts. Antonio Senzatela, on the other hand, surrendered 3+ runs in each of his last five starts and nine in his previous two. I expect at least seven combined runs in the opening five innings. Go with Over.
