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Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction 8/16/25 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (61-62) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (72-51)
August 16, 2025 3:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -157 / Texas Rangers +129; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Saturday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will start Patrick Corbin here and Corbin is 6-8 with a 4.00 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Corbin is 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA and 15 strikeouts against the Blue Jays. Eric Lauer will get the start for the Blue Jays and is 7-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. This will be Lauer’s second career start against Texas.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-5 loss at the hands of the Blue Jays last time out to sit at 61-62 on the year. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road again for a series against the Kansas City Royals.

Rangers Lose 7 Of Their Last 8

Corey Seager has 87 hits including 17 home runs and 43 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 98 hits with 24 doubles, 16 home runs, 64 RBIs and 10 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 83 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 90 hits with 17 doubles, 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 15 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 9 homers and 35 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 102 hits with 20 doubles, 9 home runs and 30 RBIs with 9 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 13 homers and 57 RBIs but has 90 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The underdogs have won eight of the Blue Jays’ last 10 games at Rogers Centre.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last eight Saturday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has hit at least one home run in each of the Rangers’ last two road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded six strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his 18 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays will be out to build on their win over the Rangers from Friday’s series opener, improving to 72-51 on the year as a result. After this series, the Blue Jays will take to the road for an interleague series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Blue Jays Looking To Keep Momentum Going

George Springer has 100 hits and Bo Bichette has 148 hits with Springer adding 18 home runs, a triple, 18 doubles and 57 RBIs while Bichette has 35 doubles, 16 home runs and 78 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 48 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 20 homers, 29 doubles and 67 RBIs while Springer also has a .291 batting average and 76 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 25 doubles with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 23 doubles as part of his 120 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last 10 home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have lost each of their last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in four of their last five games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three day games.
  • Eric Lauer has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette ranks 1st in the league in Hits (149) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last nine games between the Rangers and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Rangers’ last eight day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction

I’m backing the Blue Jays in this one. I just can’t get with the Rangers in their current form, especially with the struggles this Texas team has had against left-handed pitching this season. Not to mention, Lauer’s been a lot better at home over the course of the season. The Blue Jays just keep on finding ways to win lately, and I think they do so again here. Give me Toronto.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -157

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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