Braves vs Mariners Prediction 9/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 73-67 on the year and play the Cardinals, Angels, and Royals next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .241 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and a .410 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 151 hits and 82 RBI, while JP Crawford and Randy Arozarena have combined for 257 hits and 112 RBI.

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 4-6 with a 3.73 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. This will be Gilbert’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 63-77 on the year and play the Cubs, Astros, and Nationals next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .244 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 144 hits and 77 RBI while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 261 hits and 140 RBI.

Chris Sale gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. Sale is 7-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 111 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle Mariners @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 5, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 2.45
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Mariners: 3-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mariners have lost seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The home team has won six of the Mariners’ last seven games.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last four games at Truist Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 3.73
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mariners’ last six games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against American League opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL West opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in six of their last eight games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last nine night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Braves’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three home games against the Mariners.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last five Friday games as underdogs.
• Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (51) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (501).
• The Braves rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (210).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (188).
• The Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (7).

Braves vs Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are doing that thing they’ve done over the last two decades where they can’t win down the stretch and then miss the playoffs. Gilbert has been solid this season overall, but he has a 5.80 ERA and .276 allowed batting average in 45 road innings. Sale has been strong when he’s on the mound, and he looked good in six innings against the Phillies in his return. In 37.1 home innings, Sale has a 2.17 ERA and .227 allowed batting average. If the Mariners remain on the struggle bus, I doubt they have success against Sale. Give me the Braves.