Sun vs Mercury Prediction 9-6-25 WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Here’s a Sun vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Sun vs Mercury Pick.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury beat the Fever and Mystics, and they play the Sparks next. The Mercury have won 11 of their last 14 games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 79.6 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Satou Sabally is averaging 16.3 points and 6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 15.9 points and 9 rebounds. Kahleah Copper is the third double-digit scorer and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview

The Connecticut Sun lost to the Sky and Dream, and they play the Dream next. The Sun have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

The Connecticut Sun are averaging 76 points on 41.4 percent shooting and allowing 86 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Tina Charles is averaging 16.4 points and 1.7 assists, while Marina Mabrey is averaging 14.1 points and 4.3 rebounds. Leila Lacan is the third double-digit scorer, and Bria Harley is dishing 3.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 30.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury @ Connecticut Sun Betting Trends: September 6, 2025

Why the Connecticut Sun will win

• The Mercury have lost eight of their last nine games at Mohegan Sun Arena.
• The Sun have won six of their last seven home games against the Mercury.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Mohegan Sun Arena following a road win.
• The Sun have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Mercury teams that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Sun have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Sun have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 day games at Mohegan Sun Arena following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mercury’s last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Sun’s last nine day games at Mohegan Sun Arena following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Connecticut Sun Player Facts

• Tina Charles ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for FT% (86.4%) this season.
• Lindsay Allen leads all Connecticut Sun players for assists per 36 minutes (5.3) this season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) this season.
• Kahleah Copper ranks 1st amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Connecticut Sun rank 12th for rebounds per game this season (31.6).
• The Connecticut Sun rank 12th for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (9.0).
• The Phoenix Mercury have allowed fewer than 80 points points in each of their last four games – team’s equal-longest streak since 2019.
• Phoenix Mercury scored 36 unanswered points against Indiana Fever on August 7 – team’s equal-biggest scoring run of the season.

Sun vs Mercury Injury Report

Bria Hartley is out for the Connecticut Sun with a knee injury. Olivia Nelson-Ododa is doubtful with a back injury. Aneesah Morrow is questionable with a chest injury.

The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Sun vs Mercury Prediction

The Mercury are flexing their muscle lately as one of the best teams in the league, and they can still close in on the second seed if this continues. The Sun have lost and failed to cover each of their last 3 games, and now their injury report is piling up. We’re seeing added names this time of year for teams that don’t have anything to play for.

The Mercury beat the Sun by 16 points a month ago. The favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 games between the Sun and Mercury. The only concern here is that it’s an early start time for a team on a west coast body clock. Give me the Mercury in a blowout.