Reds vs Mets Prediction 9/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds meet Sunday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will trot out Brandon Sproat for his Major League debut here while the Cincinnati Reds throw out Hunter Greene for the start and Greene is 5-4 with a 2.70 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his career, Greene is 0-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 21 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-3 loss at the hands of the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday to sit at 76-66 this year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Pete Alonso has 146 hits with 35 doubles, 33 home runs, 113 RBIs and a .271 batting average while Juan Soto has 127 hits with 16 doubles, 27 stolen bases, 37 home runs and 91 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 149 hits with 28 stolen bases along with 29 doubles, 26 home runs and 77 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 15 home runs and 54 RBIs, but also has 91 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 133 hits with 27 doubles and 22 home runs and 78 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 13 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 13 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last eight home games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets’ last three games.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 road games against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.402) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets from Saturday’s matchup to climb to 71-71 this season. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Reds Snap Three-Game Losing Skid

Elly De La Cruz has 148 hits with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs, 28 doubles and 32 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 133 hits with 19 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs with 11 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 106 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 17 home runs and 64 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 13 homers, 45 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 20 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have won eight of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as favorites against the Mets.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Reds as home favorites.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
• Hunter Greene is one of only two pitchers to record 90+ Strikeouts and 20 or less Walks this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Reds vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the over here. I think Sproat may have some issues in his debut, as he was still dealing with control and contact issues even at AAA, and Hunter Greene has been far more hittable at Great American Ballpark this season. Two lineups that can hit righties well, I think we’re getting some runs here. Give me the over.