Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 9/10/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 10th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 66-79 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 7-15 and 5-7. In their game two loss, Miami fell behind early, but did score the last four runs to make the game look much closer than it actually was. The Marlins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mesa Jr, who went 1-1 with two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Mazur, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Bellozo allowed two hits and zero earned runs in two innings of relief work. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Nationals. Miami has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 628 runs with a .250 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 6-5 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 60-84 this year after they won game two by a score of 7-5 on Tuesday. Washington scored three runs in the first inning and led the entire game for the win. The Nationals recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bell, who went 1-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Washington started Parker, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 7.2 innings for the win, while Ferrer picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Cubs and all three against the Marlins. Washington has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 623 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 8-11 with a 5.71 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 157.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals

• The Marlins have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in 14 of their last 18 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 16 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven home games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Nationals.
• Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Nationals.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Marlins as favorites against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in each of the Nationals’ last four night games.
• Josh Bell has hit at least one home run in each of the Nationals’ last three games.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Marlins vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup looking for their fifth straight win and they have scored 28 runs in their last three games. The Nationals are 31-42 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 32-41 at home. Miami has allowed 22 runs in the first two games of this series and they are starting Perez, who has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 4.2 innings of work. The Nationals are going with Irvin, who has allowed 7, 4, 3, 6, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Take the over once again here.