Ball State vs Ohio Prediction Football Picks Today 10/4/25

Ohio and Ball State meet Saturday in Week 6 college football action from Schuemann Stadium Here’s a Ball State vs Ohio prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ball State Cardinals vs Ohio Bobcats pick. 

Ohio Has Won Two Straight Games

Ohio has all kinds of confidence right now and they have won two straight games. Two games ago against Gardner Webb they won 52-35 and in the last game against Bowling Green they won 35-20. At halftime they were up 14-10 and they never looked back on the way to the win. Parker Navarro completed 17 of his 25 passes for 208 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Sieh Bangura couldn’t be stopped on the ground and he finished with 18 carries for 115 yards. In this game, Ohio is going to need to get the offense out to a fast start to really try to put the pressure on. 

Ohio on the season is averaging 28.8 points while their defense is giving up 27.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 75th in all of the league while the defense is ranked 95th in college football. 

Why the Ohio Bobcats will win

• Ohio has won each of its last 14 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Ball State has lost each of its last nine games as an underdog against teams from Ohio.
• Ohio has covered the spread in each of its last five games against Ball State.

Ball State Looks to Bounce Back

Ball State two games ago beat New Hampshire, but in the last game UConn, they struggled. Ball State scored 25 points, but the defense gave up 31, and that led to the defeat. Ball State scored 15 points in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t good enough. Kialel Kelly completed 17 of his 24 passes for 209 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Qua Ashley finished with 18 carries for 86 yards and a touchdown. Wide receiver Donovan Hamilton also caught seven passes for 61 yards. 

Ball State’s offense just hasn’t been good enough and they are averaging only 15.5 points while their defense is giving up 32.2 points per game. The defense hasn’t been good, but even a bigger issue has been the lack of scoring by this team. If they want a chance in this game, they are going to need the defense to be a whole lot better. 

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

• The home team has won each of Ohio’s last five games.
• Ball State has covered the spread in each of its last six October games as a home underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Ohio has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Ball State vs Ohio Prediction

Ohio is going to put on a show here with its offense. Ohio’s offense is averaging 28.8 points and they are going to go well over that number here. Ball State is averaging only 15.5 points and that type of production isn’t good enough. Kelly isn’t the problem, except when it comes to finishing drives. Ball State can’t get the ball into the end zone, and their lack of scoring is going to be enough as Ohio is going to end up coming ahead. Back Ohio to win this game and cover the spread.