Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction Football Picks Today 10/4/25

The Wisconsin Badgers and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs Wisconsin Pick.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers lost to Alabama and Maryland, and they play Iowa next. Wisconsin has lost 7 of its last 9 games. Danny O’Neil is completing 70.6 percent of his passes for 640 yards, 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Lance Mason and Vinny Anthony II have combined for 338 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jayden Ballard has 7 receptions.

The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 117.8 yards per contest, and Dilin Jones leads the way with 154 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 18.8 points and 284.5 yards per game. Christian Alliegro leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 19 tackles, Mason Reiger has 2 sacks and Preston Zachman has 2 interceptions.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines beat Central Michigan and Nebraska, and they play USC next. Michigan has won 6 of its last 7 games. Bryce Underwood is completing 56.9 percent of his passes for 733 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Donaven McCulley and Semaj Morgan have combined for 340 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Marlin Klein has 9 receptions.

The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 253.5 yards per contest, and Justice Haynes leads the way with 537 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 17.8 points and 291.8 yards per game. Ernest Hausmann leads the Michigan Wolverines with 29 tackles, Jaishawn Barham has 3 sacks and Cole Sullivan has 2 interceptions.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last 26 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Michigan Stadium.
• Wisconsin has lost each of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
• Michigan has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 home games in October.
• Wisconsin has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
• Michigan has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 games against conference opponents at Michigan Stadium.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

• Wisconsin has won six of its last seven road games in October.
• Wisconsin has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games in October.
• The team ranked 20th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Michigan’s last seven games at Michigan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of Wisconsin’s last six road games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Michigan Wolverines Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Justice Haynes leads the Big Ten Conference for rushing yards (537) this season.

Wisconsin Badgers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Lance Mason leads Wisconsin for touchdowns (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan ranks T130th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (25.0).
• Michigan ranks 8th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (253.5).
• Wisconsin ranks 1st among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (50.0).
• Wisconsin ranks 135th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (4.3).

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction

Michigan is the better team and should be favored, but this line is thick for a Wolverines team that’s played games close to the vest and has had issues putting games away. Wisconsin is extremely limited offensively, but it’s a well coached team that doesn’t get blown out often and has the best run defense in the country.

Bryce Underwood is still a young quarterback who is working his way into the mix and hasn’t had much success through the air. If Wisconsin continues to stop the run, it could force Underwood to make plays, and we haven’t quite seen that yet. Wisconsin has also had an extra week to prepare, which could fix some of the issues on offense. I’ll take a shot with the points.