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Buccaneers vs Seahawks Prediction 10/5/25 NFL Picks Today

Buccaneers vs Seahawks
October 5, 2025 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Seahawks -3.5 / Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Buccaneers vs Seahawks Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 5th at the Lumen Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Seattle Seahawks Preview

The Seattle Seahawks have a 3-1 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NFC West. They are 3-1 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 away record and 1-1 home record. The Seahawks are coming off a 23-20 road win over the Arizona Cardinals and are playing the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans next.

Offensively, the Seahawks average 27.8 points per game, which ranks 6th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 16.8 points per game, which is 2nd. Seattle averages 332.3 total yards per game, with 110.8 rushing yards and 221.5 passing yards per game. They allow 297 total yards per game, with 89.8 rushing and 207.3 passing yards per game.

Sam Darnold leads the Seahawks with 905 passing yards and 70% completed passes. Kenneth Walker III leads the team in rushing yards, with 244, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba has a team-high 26 caught passes for 402 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Ernest Jones has a team-high 33 total tackles, 18 of them solo. Leonard Williams leads the Seahawks in sacks, with 2.5, while Coby Bryant has two interceptions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 3-1 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NFC South. They are 2-2 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 away record and 1-1 home record. The Buccaneers are coming off a 25-31 home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles and are playing the Seattle Seahawks, the San Francisco 49ers and the Detroit Lions next.

Offensively, the Buccaneers average 24.3 points per game, which ranks 14th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 24.3 points per game, which is 20th. Tampa Bay averages 335.8 total yards per game, with 124 rushing yards and 211.8 passing yards per game. They allow 272.8 total yards per game, with 85 rushing and 187.8 passing yards per game.

Baker Mayfield leads the Buccaneers with 904 passing yards and 59.7% completed passes. Bucky Irving leads the team in rushing yards, with 237, while Emeka Egbuka has a team-high 18 caught passes for 282 receiving yards, and has 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Tykee Smith has a team-high 33 total tackles, 20 of them solo. Vita Vea leads the Buccaneers in sacks, with two, while Jamel Dean has one interception.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends: Week 5

 

Why the Seattle Seahawks will win

  • The Buccaneers have lost 10 of their last 11 games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • Eric Saubert’s team has won each of its five previous games with him playing against Lavonte David.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Seahawks’ last eight games at Lumen Field.
  • The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 5 games against NFC opponents.
  • The favorites have won the first half in seven of the Seahawks’ last eight games.
  • The Seahawks have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games played as favorites on the West Coast.
  • The Seahawks have won the first quarter in each of their last seven October games against NFC South opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

  • The road team has won nine of the Seahawks’ last 10 games.
  • The Seahawks have lost three of their last four games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games following a home loss.
  • The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a Division game.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their last three Week 5 games as road underdogs.
  • The Buccaneers have won the first half in each of their last five games against the Seahawks.
  • The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Seahawks.

Total Points Facts

  • Eleven of the Seahawks’ last 12 home games against NFC South opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Buccaneers’ last 10 road games following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts

  • Kenneth Walker III has scored two touchdowns in each of the Seahawks’ last three games against NFC South opponents.
  • Kenneth Walker III has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous appearances with the Seahawks as favorites following a road win.
  • Cooper Kupp has recorded 51+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 October home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Kenneth Walker III has recorded 51+ rushing yards in nine of his 10 previous appearances with the Seahawks as favorites following a win.
  • Cooper Kupp has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 October home appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Sam Darnold has recorded 231+ passing yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a favorite.
  • Sam Darnold has recorded 21+ completions in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite.
  • Heading into Week 5, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards (402) this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven games as underdogs.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 10 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • Rachaad White has scored the last touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last three games played on the West Coast.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 35+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 11 games as underdogs following a loss.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 18+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 14 games as road underdogs.
  • Heading into Week 5, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Seahawks – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
  • Heading into Week 5, the Seahawks have recorded the longest punt return this season (95 yards).
  • Buccaneers – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
  • Heading into Week 5, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (75.0) this season.

Buccaneers vs Seahawks Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2022, the Buccaneers won 21-16 at home. They are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Seahawks, but the Seahawks are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle. Under is 6-3 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Buccaneers vs Seahawks Prediction, the Seahawks are coming as -3.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. Both teams have identical records this season, but the Seahawks are coming off three consecutive wins, having covered the spread in all three matches. On the flip side, Buccaneers are coming off their first defeat of the season, and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. The Seahawks have been dominating the Buccaneers at home, and are better both offensively, and defensively, winning by an average of 11 points this season. The value here lies with the home team, so take the Seattle Seahawks and lay the -3.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Seattle Seahawks -3.5

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