Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 10/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in Game 2 ALDS MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees need a win to even up the series after getting blasted 10-1 in game 1. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season, have a .286 OBP, and a .321 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 6 hits and 1 RBI while Anthony Volpe and Cody Bellinger have combined for 8 hits and 3 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 19-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 189 strikeouts this season. Fried is 2-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 72 strikeouts in his postseason career. Fried is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays look for another win to take a commanding 2-0 series lead. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .289 on the season, have a .400 OBP, and a .722 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 1.00 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 3 hits and 2 RBI while Andres Gimenez and Alejandro Kirk have combined for 4 hits and 4 RBI.

Trey Yesavage gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 1-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Yesavage will make his postseason debut. This will be Yesavage’s first career game against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: October 5, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 3.21
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: –

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Rogers Centre.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Fried      Record this season (inc. playoffs): 19-5      ERA: 2.77
• Road Record: 11-3
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 3-1

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight playoff games.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight playoff games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Blue Jays.

Total Runs Facts

• Fourteen of the Yankees’ last 15 games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the last 14 games between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four day games at Rogers Centre.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has hit at least one home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games.
• Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL opponents.
• George Springer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four playoff games as road favorites.
• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded a hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine playoff games as favorites.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Max Fried ranks 1st in the league for Wins (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1461).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (849).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (274).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

It’s hard not to side with the Blue Jays after what we saw in game 1, as it got ugly quickly. While every game is its own beast, a carry-over effect is a real thing. The players are confident, and the fans are buzzing. The Yankees have to strike quickly to steal back some momentum. With that said, Yesavage is a 22-year-old who has just 14 MLB innings under his belt, and now he’s in the playoffs against the Yankees.

I have no idea how Yesavage will handle the nerves, and I’m not a fan of laying dollars on so much unknown. The Yankees have to win this game to have a real shot of winning the series. Fried is a veteran pitcher who has not only been great this season, but just held his own against the Red Sox in the playoffs. The Yankees have the more trustworthy pitcher on the mound. I’ll lean Yanks to even things up.