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Rangers vs Capitals Prediction 10/12/25 NHL Picks Today

Washington Capitals (1-1-0) vs. NY Rangers (2-1-0)
October 12, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Rangers -112 / Washington Capitals -108; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, October 12th at Madison Square Garden in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers are 2-1-0 this year after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 6-1 on Saturday. New York allowed Pittsburgh to tie the game at one in the second, but they scored the last five goals for the victory. The Rangers out shot Pittsburgh by a total of 30-19, won 48% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. New York also recorded 30 hits and 12 blocked shots in the win. The Rangers got goals from Cuylle, Raddysh, Rempe, Zibanejad, and Fox (2), while Schneider and Cuylle both had five hits in the game. New York started Shesterkin, who stopped 18 out of 19 shots, which was a .947 save percentage. 

New York started the season with a 3-0 loss to Pittsburgh, but bounced back in their second game with a 4-0 win over Buffalo. The Rangers are averaging 2.00 goals per game and they are allowing 1.50 goals against per game, while also averaging 0% on the power play and 100% on the penalty kill coming into Saturday’s game. JT Miller has led New York with one goal and one assist, while Alexis Lafreniere has also added one goal and one assist this year. The projected starting goalie for New York is Jonathan Quick, who is making his first start of the season. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 1-1-0 this season after they defeated the Islanders by a score of 4-2 last night. Washington scored the first four goals in the game, but they were outscored 2-0 in the final 22 minutes. The Capitals were out shot by a total of 36-29, won 47.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Washington also recorded 23 hits and 20 blocked shots in the victory. The Caps got goals from Leonard, Protas (2), and Fehervary, while Duhaime led the way with six hits in the game. Washington started Thompson, who stopped 34 out of 36 shots for a .944 save percentage in the win. 

Washington started the 2025 season with a 3-1 loss against Boston in their first game. The Capitals are averaging 1.00 goal per game and they are allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while also averaging 0% on the power play and 50% on the penalty kill going into Saturday’s game. Aliaksei Protas has led Washington with two goals and two assists, while Jakob Chychrun has added three assists this year. The projected starting goalie for Washington is Charlie Lindgren, who is also making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The Capitals have lost each of their last five road games following a road win.
  • The Rangers have won five of their last six home games against the Capitals.
  • The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five cof their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Rangers have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games.
  • The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last six games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Capitals’ last four games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last 10 games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Capitals’ last eight games following a road win.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Artemi Panarin has scored a goal in four of the Rangers’ last five home games against the Capitals.
  • Artemi Panarin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 15 home appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one assist in each of the Rangers’ last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 18 appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
  • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last four games against the Rangers.

Rangers vs Capitals Prediction 

Both of these teams were able to get a win on Saturday to start the weekend strong, so both will be on a back to back here. Washington got a road win against the Islanders and will be back on the road here. New York has outscored their last two opponents by a total of 10-1 and they have allowed just four total goals through three games. Both teams will be using their backup goalies in this matchup, but I think that favors New York, as Quick still has plenty of game left. Take the Rangers at home. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Rangers ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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