TCU vs Baylor Prediction Football Picks Today 10/18/25
Baylor Bears (4-2) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (4-2)
October 18, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs -3 / Baylor Bears +3; Over/Under: 64.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baylor Bears and the TCU Horned Frogs meet in week 8 college football action from Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs prediction.
Baylor Bears Recap
The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to build on their 35-34 win over Kansas State last time out to sit at 4-2 this season. After this game, Baylor will head on the road for a game against Cincinnati.
Bears Win 4 Of Last 5
Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,058 yards, 19 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 63.7% passing while Bryson Washington leads the Bears on the ground with 557 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Josh Cameron has a team-high 32 grabs for 456 yards and 3 touchdowns to lead Baylor in receiving while Michael Trigg has 29 catches for 439 yards and 4 touchdowns and Kole Wilson and Ashtyn Hawkins each have 300+ receiving yards. Kobe Prentice has chipped in 265 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns as well this season. On defense, Keaton Thomas has a team-high 51 total tackles including 33 solo tackles while Emar’rion Winston and Jackie Marshall each have a pair of sacks. As a unit, Baylor’s defense has combined for 8 sacks and 5 interceptions so far this season.Â
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- Baylor has won four of its last five October games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- The underdog has covered the spread in seven of Baylor’s last eight games.
- TCU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against teams from Texas.
TCU Horned Frogs Recap
The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to rebound from a 41-28 loss at the hands of Kansas State last time out to sit at 4-2 this season. After this game, TCU will head on the road for a game against West Virginia.
Horned Frogs Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Josh Hoover has thrown for 1,893 yards, 18 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 64.7% passing while Kevorian Barnes leads the Horned Frogs with 285 rushing yards and a touchdown. Trent Battle and Jeremy Payne each have 100+ rushing yards this season with Battle logging 3 touchdowns. Eric McAlister leads TCU in receiving with 541 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns while Jordan Dwyer has 357 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns and Joseph Manjack IV has 309 receiving yards and 2 scores. Three more Horned Frogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this year. On defense, Kaleb Elarms-Orr and Jamel Johnson each have 48 total tackles with Johnson logging a team-high 34 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while Elarms-Orr has 3 sacks. Namdi Obiazor has a pair of sacks and Bud Clark has a pair of interceptions this season. As a unit, TCU has combined for 16 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won each of its last six games at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
- Baylor has lost five of its last six games at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
- Baylor has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- TCU has covered the spread in four of its last five games at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Baylor’s last six games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of TCU’s last 11 October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction
I’m on the over here. I just see these two teams side-by-side and the first thing that comes to my mind is points and points coming in bunches. This to me feels like a game that hits the high-70s or low-80s so give me the over in this track meet.