NC State vs Pitt Prediction 10/25/25 College Football Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a NC State vs Pitt Prediction for this College Football Week 9 game on Saturday, October 25^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Pitt Panthers Preview

Pitt has a 5-2 record this season and is sitting 4th in the ACC. They are 5-2 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 2-1 away record. Pitt is coming off a 30-13 road win against Syracuse and will face Stanford, Notre Dame and Virginia Tech next.

Offensively, Pitt averages 38.4 points per game, ranking 13th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.3 points per game, which is 39th. Pitt averages 406.6 total yards per game (285.1 passing and 121.4 rushing), while allowing 299.1 total yards per game (82.4 rushing and 216.7 passing).

Eli Holstein leads Pitt with 1,058 passing yards with 62.7% completed passes and 11 touchdowns. Desmond Reid leads the team in rushing yards with 225, while Raphael Williams has a team-high 27 receptions for 426 receiving yards. Defensively, Rasheem Biles has a team-high 53 total tackles (18 of them solo), while Rasheem Biles leads the team in sacks, with 2.0, and Rasheem Biles has a team-high 1 interception.

NC State Wolfpack Preview

NC State has a 4-3 record this season and is sitting 12th in the ACC. They are 3-4 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 1-2 away record. NC State is coming off a 7-36 road loss against Notre Dame and will face Georgia Tech, Miami and Florida State next.

Offensively, NC State averages 30.0 points per game, ranking 58th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 26.6 points per game, which is 88th. NC State averages 417.0 total yards per game (268.0 passing and 149.0 rushing), while allowing 390.7 total yards per game (133.4 rushing and 257.3 passing).

CJ Bailey leads NC State with 1,846 passing yards with 72.1% completed passes and 14 touchdowns. Daylan Smothers leads the team in rushing yards with 739, while Justin Joly has a team-high 30 receptions for 264 receiving yards. Defensively, Caden Fordham has a team-high 69 total tackles (30 of them solo), while Travali Price leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, and Isiah Shirley has a team-high 1 interception.

NC State Wolfpack @ Pittsburgh Panthers Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the Pittsburgh Panthers will win

• Pittsburgh has won each of its last six games in October.
• NC State has lost five of its last six road games in October.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of Pittsburgh’s last four games at Acrisure Stadium.
• NC State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six road games in October.
• NC State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Why the NC State Wolfpack will win

• NC State has won three of its last four October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Pittsburgh has lost three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
• Pittsburgh has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games against teams from North Carolina.
• NC State has covered the spread in four of its last five road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of NC State’s last seven road games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Pittsburgh’s last seven home games against teams from North Carolina have gone OVER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Trey Butkowski leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for field goals made (15) this season.

NC State Wolfpack Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Hollywood Smothers leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for rushing yards (739) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Pittsburgh ranks 4th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (82.4).
• Pittsburgh ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.6).
• NC State ranks T121st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.4).
• NC State ranks 120th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (257.3).

NC State vs Pitt Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2020, NC State won 30-29 on the road and has won all three meetings against Pitt, having covered the spread in all three.

In this NC State vs Pitt Prediction, Pitt is coming as -6.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 56.5 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup on opposite trajectories, as Pitt has won their last three games and are a strong 3-1 at home, while on the flip side, NC State is 1-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 4 games. The Panthers are superior both offensively and defensively, having the 13^th-best offense in the country and winning by an average of 18.1 points per game this season. Take Pitt and lay the -6.5 points at home in this one.