Dallas Mavericks (2-4) vs. Houston Rockets (3-2)
November 3, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -12.5; Over/Under: 227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Toyota Center on Monday night. Here’s a Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have yet to really find their footing as they’ve lost four of their first six games and they will be itching to bounce back after getting beaten by the Pistons in a 122-110 defeat on Saturday. D’Angelo Russell came ready to play as he led the team with 31 points, seven rebounds, and three assists off the bench. Cooper Flagg added 16 points with eight rebounds and four assists on three of 14 shooting, while Max Christie chipped in with 13 points, six rebounds, and five assists.
As a team, the Mavericks shot 42 percent from the field and 16 of 45 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to lead for most of the contest, until they went ice-cold and scored just four points in the final 4:50 to allow the Pistons to slip away in the end.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets are starting to heat up as they are aiming to build on their current three-game win streak after making light work of the Celtics in a 128-101 road win on Saturday. Kevin Durant led the team with an efficient 26 points on eight of 11 shooting, Amen Thompson added 17 points with nine rebounds and eight assists while Alperen Sengun chipped in with 16 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists.
As a team, the Rockets shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 19 of 29 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 37 points in the first quarter to take an early double-digit lead. This lead only grew as the game wore on with the Rockets making timely 3-pointers every time the Celtics made a bit of a run.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have won each of their last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Rockets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
- The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
- The road team has covered the spread in six of the Rockets’ last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Rockets’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving, while the Rockets have ruled out Dorian Finney-Smith with Jabari Smith Jr listed as questionable. The Mavericks have really struggled to build any momentum with the list of injuries they’ve had to deal with, and they were no match against the Pistons on Saturday despite a big game from Russell with 31 points off the bench. In contrast, the Rockets have started to heat up with three wins on the trot, and they looked great in their dominant win over the in-form Celtics on Saturday.
The Rockets were always going to be heavy favorites at home, but I think it’s justified given that the Mavericks are just so banged up at the moment. We haven’t seen enough from Cooper Flagg to suggest he can carry the team yet.
