Long Beach State vs San Diego State Prediction 11/4/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Long Beach State vs San Diego State
November 4, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State -21.5 / Over/Under: 138
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In this article, we will formulate a Long Beach State vs San Diego State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs finished last season a 21-10 record and were placed 4th in the MWC with a 14-6 conference record. The Aztecs were 12-18 against the spread, and 15-14-1 in over/under, having a 12-3 home record and a 6-4 away record.
Offensively last season, San Diego State scored 70.8 points per game, which ranked 264th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 64.6 points per game (19th). The Aztecs shot with 44.2% from the field (202nd), and with 33.3% from beyond the arc (217th). They shot with 66.4% from the free throw line (338th), and grabbed 35.2 rebounds per game (187th), while dishing out 13.0 assists per game (219th) and committing 11.0 turnovers per game (108th).
Nick Boyd led San Diego State in scoring last season, with an average of 13.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.9 assists. Miles Byrd followed with 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game, while BJ Davis added 9.0 points, 3.0 rebounds per game.
Long Beach State Beach Preview
The Long Beach State Beach finished last season a 7-25 record and were placed 10th in the Big West with a 3-17 conference record. The Beach were 14-16 against the spread, and 17-13 in over/under, having a 3-11 home record and a 4-11 away record.
Offensively last season, Long Beach State scored 67.2 points per game, which ranked 328th in the nation, while defensively, they allowed 74.2 points per game (246th). The Beach shot with 43.3% from the field (261st), and with 34.9% from beyond the arc (128th). They shot with 75.6% from the free throw line (56th), and grabbed 31.9 rebounds per game (265th), while dishing out 11.4 assists per game (329th) and committing 14.4 turnovers per game (345th).
Devin Askew led Long Beach State in scoring last season, with an average of 18.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.5 assists. TJ Wainwright followed with 13.4 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, while Kam Martin added 8.4 points, 1.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game.
Long Beach State Beach @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: November 4, 2025
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- Long Beach State has lost each of its last 15 games.
- San Diego State has won each of its last 11 night games at Viejas Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last 13 home games against the Big West Conference.
Why the Long Beach State Beach will win
- San Diego State has lost three of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last seven night games have produced a total of 138+ points.
- Twelve of Long Beach State’s last 13 road night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.
Long Beach State vs San Diego State Prediction
San Diego State has won all six meetings against Long Beach State, but they are 3-2-1 against the spread and over is 4-1-1.
In this Long Beach State vs San Diego State Prediction, San Diego State is coming as -21.5 home favorites, with the total set at 138 points. San Diego State was the far better team last season, as they had three times as many wins as Long Beach State and were extremely strong at home. The Aztecs had the 19th-best defense in the country and are going up against a bottom-40 offense of the Beach. San Diego State also had the edge both in rebounding and in assists made and I expect them to dominate this game, as they have done in each of the previous six times they faced Long Beach State. Take San Diego State and lay the points at home.