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Broncos vs Raiders Prediction 11/6/25 NFL Picks Today

Las Vegas Raiders (2-6) vs. Denver Broncos (7-2)
November 6, 2025 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Broncos -9.5; Over/Under: 42.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Raiders and Denver Broncos meet Thursday in NFL action at Empower Field. Here’s a Broncos vs Raiders Prediction. This article will include a Broncos vs Raiders Pick.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders lost to the Chiefs and Jaguars, and they play the Cowboys next. The Las Vegas Raiders have lost 6 of their last 7 games. Geno Smith is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,701 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Tre Tucker and Jakobi Meyers have combined for 779 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Brock Bowers has 31 receptions.

The Las Vegas Raiders ground game is averaging 89.1 yards per contest, and Ashton Jeanty leads the way with 487 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Las Vegas is allowing 26.3 points and 333.4 yards per game. Devin White leads the Las Vegas Raiders with 80 tackles, Maxx Crosby has 5 sacks and Isaiah Pola-Mao has 2 interceptions.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos beat the Cowboys and Texans, and they play the Chiefs next. The Denver Broncos have won 6 straight games. Bo Nix is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 1,976 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Troy Franklin and Courtland Sutton have combined for 951 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Marvin Mims Jr. has 22 receptions.

The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 133.6 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 695 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18.4 points and 279.9 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 80 tackles, Nik Bonitto has 8 sacks and Brandon Jones has 1 interception.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

  • The Broncos have won each of their last nine home games.
  • The Raiders have lost each of their last eight games against AFC West opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Raiders’ last four games.
  • The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
  • The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
  • The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last 15 games as road underdogs following a loss.

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

  • The Broncos have lost five of their last six November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Raiders have won four of their last five Thursday games as underdogs.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Raiders’ last seven games at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven November games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in 11 of the Broncos’ last 12 Week 10 games.
  • The Raiders have won the first quarter in each of their last five Thursday games as underdogs.
  • The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Broncos.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Broncos’ last eight home games following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Raiders’ last eight road games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the last five games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in each of the Broncos’ last four home games against AFC opponents.
  • Courtland Sutton has recorded 57+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last seven November games as favorites.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 216+ passing yards in eight of the Broncos’ last 10 home games.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 22+ rushing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Broncos’ last five games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
  • J.K. Dobbins has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Heading into Week 10, Courtland Sutton ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (4) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

  • Ashton Jeanty has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Raiders’ last four games following a loss.
  • Ashton Jeanty has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last four games following a loss.
  • Geno Smith has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • Geno Smith has recorded 20+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances against division opponents.
  • Geno Smith has recorded 16+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Raheem Mostert has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last four November appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Heading into Week 10, Geno Smith has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Chargers, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Broncos – 13 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in sacks (40.0) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 points per game (3.8) this season.
  • Heading into Week 10, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (7.5) this season.

Broncos vs Raiders Prediction

I considered the Raiders and the points as this is a big line on a short week, and we’re getting a hook on top of a key number. However, the Raiders are god awful offensively, and they’re going up against one of the best defenses in the league. Even not having Pat Surtain II doesn’t hurt the Broncos here as the Raiders don’t have any receivers that scare defenses. it’s hard to find confidence in a Raiders team that’s scored single-digit points in 3 of its last 7 games. This is a spot the Broncos can pull away slowly but surely. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Denver Broncos -9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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