Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-4)
November 8, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs 9 / Georgia Bulldogs -9; Over/Under: 56.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Georgia Bulldogs and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Georgia Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Georgia Pick.
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Georgia Bulldogs beat Ole Miss and Florida, and they play Texas next. The Georgia Bulldogs have won 4 straight games. Gunner Stockton is completing 70.3 percent of his passes for 1,776 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Colbie Young and Zachariah Branch have combined for 810 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Dillon Bell has 17 receptions.
The Georgia Bulldogs ground game is averaging 184 yards per contest, and Chauncey Bowens leads the way with 446 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Georgia is allowing 19.6 points and 309.4 yards per game. CJ Allen leads the Georgia Bulldogs with 69 tackles, Chris Cole has 3 sacks and Ellis Robinson IV has 2 interceptions.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs lost to Texas, beat Arkansas, and they play Missouri next. Mississippi State has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Blake Shapen is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 2,148 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Brenen Thompson and Anthony Evans III have combined for 1,369 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Seydou Traore has 22 receptions.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 157.7 yards per contest, and Fluff Bothwell leads the way with 490 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 24.7 points and 368.9 yards per game. Jahron Manning leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 64 tackles, Will Whitson has 2 sacks and Brylan Lanier has 3 interceptions.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games in Mississippi.
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win
- Georgia has won each of its last 46 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last 11 home games against conference opponents.
- Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five home games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last three games between Georgia and Mississippi State.
- Mississippi State has lost the first half in 15 of its last 17 games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi State’s last six home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of Georgia’s last six games against teams from Mississippi have gone OVER the total points line.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Ethan Pulliam ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (49.1) this season.
Georgia Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 11, Gunner Stockton ranks 10th in the league for TD:INT ratio (6.00) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State has given up the largest 3rd quarter lead to win a game this season – 17 points vs Texas.
- Mississippi State ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.9).
- Georgia ranks 9th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (33:03).
- Georgia ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (3.4).
Mississippi State vs Georgia Prediction
Georgia is the more talented team and should be favored, but I’m leaning toward the points. Mississippi State isn’t an easy place to play, and it’s 8-1 ATS on the season. With an 88.9 percent cover percentage, Mississippi State is the second-best cover team in college football. Only Ohio State has covered numbers at a higher clip this season. Georgia has seen 5 of its last 6 games be decided by 10 or fewer points. I’ll grab the points with Mississippi State at home.
